Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb596855a176bb749390b5733cb93bfdfc79f3c2f7d7539871a9e959e4124ef27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulof Zverev, Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Zverev | 1c | 3,700$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Zverev | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Paul | 41c | 1,381$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.56 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Zverev | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Paul | 72c | 831.62$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.62 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Zverev | 56c | 450$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Zverev | 62c | 324.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3815…9dafbacked Zverev | 59c | 313.72$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Zverev | 58c | 310.44$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Paul | 41c | 300.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.88 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Zverev | 34c | 245.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 852 | 49.6%423 W · 429 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Zverev | 39c | 232.69$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 474 | 49.6%235 W · 239 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…7274backed Zverev | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Paul | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Paul | 36c | 195$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Zverev | 60c | 166.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…4b69backed Paul | 50c | 140.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Paul | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 138 | 22.5%31 W · 107 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Paul | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Paul | 43c | 109.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed Paul | 48c | 100.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Zverev | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…427fbacked Zverev | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…fa0bbacked Zverev | 60c | 97.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Zverev | 43c | 96.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…0fe0backed Paul | 49c | 87.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zverev | 32c | 80.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Paul | 40c | 48.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 1,001 | 38.4%384 W · 617 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paul | 40c | 33.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…0a8bbacked Zverev | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…a298backed Zverev | 59c | 17.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs Paulthis page
- Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy PaulTommy Paul won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs PaulZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)Paul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.