NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d818166611fcffbe30e48698142f560a23a4c3f9e6b8c9521c001499e56d237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Pelicans | 23c | 13,228$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.13 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Pelicans | 21c | 12,216$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.97 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Warriors | 77c | 11,966$9,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.15 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans | 16c | 10,279$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.23 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Pelicans | 18c | 7,200$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pelicans | 7c | 7,070$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.52 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans | 12c | 4,126$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.04 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Pelicans | 19c | 3,980$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.83 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Pelicans | 26c | 3,953$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.38 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 20c | 3,659$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.73 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 3c | 3,072$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Pelicans | 21c | 2,970$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.92 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans | 23c | 2,050$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.94 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Pelicans | 6c | 2,043$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…52ccbacked Warriors | 80c | 2,001$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Pelicans | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans | 19c | 1,987$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.43 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Pelicans | 5c | 1,978$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…be1abacked Warriors | 76c | 1,666$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.92 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans | 20c | 1,561$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.98 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Pelicans | 20c | 1,515$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Pelicans | 17c | 1,499$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.91 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans | 19c | 1,438$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.17 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Pelicans | 18c | 1,415$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pelicans | 20c | 1,254$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Warriors | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…e688backed Pelicans | 1c | 1,132$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pelicans | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…0503backed Pelicans | 18c | 935.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…f84bbacked Warriors | 80c | 935.94$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans | 25c | 931.3$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.36 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Warriors | 78c | 923.08$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pelicans | 17c | 827.66$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Pelicans | 18c | 799.95$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Pelicans | 1c | 796.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Warriors | 75c | 750$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Pelicans | 19c | 732.83$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…7352backed Pelicans | 19c | 731.72$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Warriors | 80c | 704.63$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf64…497abacked Pelicans | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Pelicans | 18c | 683.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Pelicans | 8c | 630.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Pelicans | 19c | 580.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…4c5ebacked Warriors | 80c | 543.5$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Pelicans | 18c | 530.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Warriors | 73c | 522.04$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Pelicans | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Pelicans | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffed…2acebacked Pelicans | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Pelicans | 21c | 483.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…e00ebacked Pelicans | 4c | 480.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…560dbacked Pelicans | 19c | 473.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Warriors | 77c | 460$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Warriors | 70c | 391.91$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pelicans | 17c | 387.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Warriors | 79c | 379.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Pelicans | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…32e3backed Pelicans | 24c | 324.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 80c | 320.79$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Pelicans | 20c | 284$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Pelicans | 10c | 255$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x861e…b54fbacked Warriors | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Pelicans | 21c | 250$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…94acbacked Pelicans | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Warriors | 51c | 238.95$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.09 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0355…4c8cbacked Pelicans | 16c | 237.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…dee4backed Warriors | 80c | 205.91$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946a…18e1backed Warriors | 80c | 203.51$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Pelicans | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Pelicans | 20c | 199.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…33ccbacked Warriors | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans | 25c | 188.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…0a71backed Pelicans | 18c | 173.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Pelicans | 24c | 167.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Warriors | 76c | 151.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Pelicans | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Pelicans | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Warriors | 79c | 144.67$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…774ebacked Pelicans | 26c | 137.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…eeaabacked Warriors | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Pelicans | 21c | 129.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39c…0498backed Warriors | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72d…7ee9backed Warriors | 77c | 129.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Pelicans | 20c | 125.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…3b35backed Pelicans | 24c | 124.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94e2…bbb3backed Warriors | 80c | 121.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Pelicans | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…5d66backed Pelicans | 25c | 116.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Pelicans | 31c | 116.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9f…c209backed Warriors | 77c | 113.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pelicans | 21c | 112.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Pelicans | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Warriors | 70c | 105.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Pelicans | 19c | 100.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8237…a0debacked Pelicans | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Pelicans | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Warriors | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Pelicans | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…8c02backed Pelicans | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…b922backed Warriors | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.