NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3a9df1cc3eaa393bc8deaf34b654fc5ec1ba7469b10cf514b0768eb2e74f43a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Spurs | 39c | 26,000$10,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,140 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Timberwolves | 72c | 25,796$18,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,213.39 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Spurs | 39c | 12,679$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944.89 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 30c | 10,942$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 10,734$6,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.4 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b9…c5b9backed Timberwolves | 65c | 10,004$6,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7782…35d9backed Spurs | 35c | 10,003$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Spurs | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.84 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Spurs | 28c | 9,685$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.5 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Spurs | 21c | 9,417$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.52 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…3800backed Timberwolves | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…c1aebacked Timberwolves | 76c | 5,800$4,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Timberwolves | 61c | 5,739$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.17 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Timberwolves | 63c | 5,702$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.12 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…1e1cbacked Spurs | 40c | 5,500$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Timberwolves | 61c | 5,453$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.74 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Spurs | 10c | 5,288$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.89 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Spurs | 0c | 4,671$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Timberwolves | 61c | 4,547$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.39 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Spurs | 1c | 4,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 3,151$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.45 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…4d92backed Spurs | 39c | 2,536$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Spurs | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 2,480$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.1 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Timberwolves | 61c | 2,435$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.53 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Spurs | 21c | 2,379$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.55 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Spurs | 37c | 2,305$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.65 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…2609backed Timberwolves | 79c | 2,155$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.59 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 62c | 1,923$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.52 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs | 8c | 1,871$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a7…505bbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 1,790$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…aad2backed Spurs | 36c | 1,790$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Spurs | 13c | 1,613$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.47 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Spurs | 15c | 1,486$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.54 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs | 26c | 1,460$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.8 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 18c | 1,197$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.23 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…74d1backed Timberwolves | 64c | 1,134$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…8181backed Spurs | 36c | 1,134$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Timberwolves | 63c | 1,116$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.33 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Spurs | 37c | 1,059$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.83 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Spurs | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Timberwolves | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Spurs | 35c | 979.32$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.76 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Spurs | 37c | 976.45$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.66 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…3e5cbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Spurs | 4c | 910.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1299…356ebacked Timberwolves | 64c | 835.85$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…a2a7backed Spurs | 36c | 835.85$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Timberwolves | 79c | 810.81$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.16 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 801.05$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.05 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Spurs | 37c | 762.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.77 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Spurs | 34c | 760.22$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 755$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.08 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Spurs | 24c | 754.34$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Spurs | 17c | 697.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 671.93$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.26 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…49e3backed Timberwolves | 75c | 656.62$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.63 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Timberwolves | 61c | 631.88$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 39c | 624.57$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.58 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…ab49backed Spurs | 17c | 601.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a32…ae7bbacked Spurs | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Spurs | 2c | 591.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Spurs | 7c | 549.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs | 33c | 510.11$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.74 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…9bdabacked Timberwolves | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 499.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Spurs | 27c | 491.26$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.59 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Spurs | 31c | 486.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…c302backed Spurs | 13c | 475$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 458.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.64 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Timberwolves | 60c | 450$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Spurs | 30c | 448.57$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…6a65backed Timberwolves | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Spurs | 19c | 419.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Spurs | 7c | 418.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 406.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…83bbbacked Spurs | 13c | 394.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Timberwolves | 70c | 361.69$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Spurs | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…57a2backed Spurs | 36c | 316.17$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…887ebacked Timberwolves | 64c | 316.17$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 314.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…4603backed Spurs | 36c | 311.28$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…f63dbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 311.28$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 308.2$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Timberwolves | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Timberwolves | 60c | 300$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Spurs | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Timberwolves | 67c | 296.97$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs | 19c | 287.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…02bcbacked Spurs | 36c | 272.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e8…6022backed Timberwolves | 64c | 272.95$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…6623backed Timberwolves | 64c | 265.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…6d89backed Spurs | 36c | 265.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…e3dcbacked Spurs | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Spurs | 39c | 254.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.