NBA · resolved market
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2024 NBA Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f7cfedf87abd631794bb734442cc832cb57f712e500d334ea3cf0b8237d9bfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked Yes | 77c | 8,225$6,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7f26backed Yes | 14c | 5,566$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,786.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 34c | 4,709$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.73 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 15c | 3,455$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.13 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes | 35c | 3,362$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.33 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe223…752abacked Yes | 34c | 3,100$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 36cpaid | +182.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…932cbacked Yes | 34c | 2,800$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,706$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.66 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…53b3backed Yes | 14c | 2,100$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 14c | 1,762$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.17 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…3222backed No | 66c | 1,580$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…4ac3backed No | 66c | 1,520$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…de6dbacked No | 66c | 1,450$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked No | 73c | 1,369$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644d…81fdbacked No | 66c | 1,350$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 33c | 1,002$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.06 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed No | 73c | 980$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 35c | 832.61$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 46c | 810$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.5 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 41c | 669$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.71 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Yes | 60c | 652.03$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.24 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 15c | 634.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.63 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…e4babacked Yes | 33c | 603.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.23 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Yes | 33c | 577.24$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.75 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f35…7594backed No | 6c | 516.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 64c | 390.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…c5f5backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 14c | 343.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.41 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Yes | 35c | 319.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…92abbacked Yes | 14c | 313.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +202.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Yes | 69c | 222.29$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 17c | 187.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.96 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 14c | 178.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.01 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 20c | 175.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…1d51backed Yes | 35c | 172.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…626fbacked Yes | 14c | 168$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Yes | 33c | 164.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.23 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…961dbacked Yes | 35c | 161.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125b…59acbacked No | 73c | 156.52$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 30c | 152.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…aea3backed Yes | 79c | 151.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…1e8abacked Yes | 31c | 145$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Yes | 42c | 130.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 38c | 109.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…edb0backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9669…832abacked Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7d…79a1backed No | 65c | 97.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 53c | 78.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes | 33c | 73.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…09d5backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb769…22d2backed Yes | 29c | 65.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…860abacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e013backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…8be9backed Yes | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Yes | 44c | 45.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 31c | 36.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f5d6backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…77d1backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 55c | 29.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…d5c7backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 77c | 14.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2024 NBA Cup?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.