TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the New York Knicks win the 2024 NBA Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,799 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes19c5,020$954 inLost-$953.82646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes14c3,448$498 inLost-$498.481,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes19c1,500$284 inLost-$283.810244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…2a6dbacked Yes18c550$99 inLost-$9940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes19c545.36$103 inLost-$103.351,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59c…115bbacked Yes12c529.91$64 inLost-$63.591040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes7c437.29$31 inLost-$30.6123438.9%91 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe45e…ebb0backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079a…3ef8backed Yes18c373$67 inLost-$67.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes12c250$30 inLost-$301,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes18c178.62$32 inLost-$32.452326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd848…626fbacked Yes18c168$30 inLost-$30.24825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ee…7f26backed Yes12c115.14$14 inLost-$13.82742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+68.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b77…6940backed Yes19c105.79$20 inLost-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes18c76.19$14 inLost-$13.8518536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes14c75$11 inLost-$10.59618.8%18 W · 78 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3378…ae62backed Yes30c66.14$20 inLost-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick24cpaid+218.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No80c55$44 inWon+$1113240.2%53 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.