NBA · resolved market
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2024 NBA Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4c68cc7b86bf61e15547c0b51124eba21afaebe057287f47dd8fa29426fe20e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 30c | 14,799$4,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,447.28 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…ec22backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked No | 66c | 7,963$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.52 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Yes | 20c | 7,245$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 35c | 6,224$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.35 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked No | 75c | 5,420$4,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.42 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…2429backed Yes | 65c | 4,800$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…b528backed No | 35c | 4,800$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 26c | 4,466$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.41 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 74c | 3,900$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 74c | 3,147$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.26 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 25c | 3,015$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.59 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Yes | 40c | 2,320$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.32 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed Yes | 2c | 1,626$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Yes | 65c | 1,539$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.68 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Yes | 65c | 1,450$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.58 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…9182backed Yes | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…1537backed No | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Yes | 59c | 1,124$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.43 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,057$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.77 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Yes | 65c | 987.36$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.62 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…971dbacked Yes | 65c | 925.9$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…e8ebbacked Yes | 38c | 900$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.5 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…53b3backed No | 33c | 899.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 71c | 815.41$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.52 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…9bdabacked Yes | 52c | 794.12$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 48c | 600$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.7 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…c0f2backed Yes | 7c | 562$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…7e50backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +703.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Yes | 65c | 486.03$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.93 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Yes | 65c | 460.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…76c0backed No | 35c | 449.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 60c | 376.64$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…cbc2backed Yes | 47c | 357.78$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 23c | 340.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 52c | 321.72$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 26c | 310$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ac…860bbacked Yes | 7c | 268.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Yes | 67c | 222.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 65c | 209.74$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.54 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…3ef8backed No | 77c | 195$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Yes | 68c | 185.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 21c | 178.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…646dbacked Yes | 45c | 178.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…6864backed Yes | 68c | 168.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…626fbacked Yes | 23c | 168$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 65c | 165$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed No | 40c | 164.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c89…af9fbacked Yes | 65c | 155$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Yes | 45c | 150.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…e3dcbacked Yes | 71c | 145.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 37c | 121.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 23c | 115$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 26c | 112.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Yes | 67c | 111.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 51c | 109.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 60c | 107.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Yes | 21c | 94.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 48c | 89.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…09d5backed Yes | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…0239backed Yes | 44c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…cb0cbacked Yes | 76c | 65.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…a8fbbacked Yes | 44c | 58.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 65c | 54.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…8a30backed Yes | 65c | 53.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 35c | 50.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 74c | 50.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…0669backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…9ba4backed No | 57c | 49.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f24…8781backed No | 33c | 46.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…885abacked Yes | 43c | 46.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…63d5backed No | 57c | 44.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00a…bab7backed Yes | 36c | 44.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 45c | 44.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…6cc5backed Yes | 67c | 44.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 60.7%99 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…2edebacked Yes | 67c | 31.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…82d8backed No | 57c | 31.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 68c | 29.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dad…0668backed Yes | 65c | 26.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…88a6backed Yes | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x611b…b81dbacked No | 64c | 22.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce89…e5c4backed No | 64c | 21.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…4746backed No | 77c | 21.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 60c | 18.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5800…9391backed Yes | 67c | 15.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x125b…59acbacked Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2024 NBA Cup?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2024 NBA Cup?Yes won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2024 NBA Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.