TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2024 NBA Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,684 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Yes30c14,799$4,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,447.2872241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344d…ec22backed Yes0c9,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1860%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked No66c7,963$5,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,731.523050%15 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd398…c487backed Yes20c7,245$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.381250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No35c6,224$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,051.351,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d2…0c3fbacked No75c5,420$4,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.422646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…2429backed Yes65c4,800$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…b528backed No35c4,800$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes26c4,466$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.4118536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No74c3,900$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0148350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No74c3,147$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.2610244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Yes25c3,015$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.5910441.3%43 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Yes40c2,320$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.3237627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7851backed Yes2c1,626$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.52850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900d…2961backed Yes65c1,539$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.683571.4%25 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Yes65c1,450$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.5812154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0103…9182backed Yes65c1,200$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e0…1537backed No35c1,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-59.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Yes59c1,124$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.4314852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x390d…350bbacked Yes21c1,057$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.772010%2 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Yes65c987.36$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.6212563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024d…971dbacked Yes65c925.9$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b31…e8ebbacked Yes38c900$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.56665.2%43 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6597…53b3backed No33c899.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.492157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No71c815.41$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.521,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda5…9bdabacked Yes52c794.12$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4152540%10 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes48c600$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.71,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46c7…c0f2backed Yes7c562$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.34728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-57.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c0…7e50backed Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+703.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Yes65c486.03$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9314150.4%71 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Yes65c460.83$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x034c…76c0backed No35c449.99$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+186.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Yes35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14035165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No60c376.64$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.286026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…cbc2backed Yes47c357.78$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.891154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes23c340.6$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789442.6%40 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No52c321.72$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4363555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Yes26c310$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2931125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ac…860bbacked Yes7c268.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Yes67c222.45$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028058.2%163 W · 117 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes65c209.74$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5411250%56 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Yes46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.822721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x079a…3ef8backed No77c195$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Yes68c185.18$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12624844%109 W · 139 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes21c178.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.312326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe08e…646dbacked Yes45c178.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.487950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca71…6864backed Yes68c168.87$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd848…626fbacked Yes23c168$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.64825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes65c165$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3722955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed No40c164.75$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8513140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c89…af9fbacked Yes65c155$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Yes45c150.23$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.456839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes66c149.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996960.9%42 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13d0…e3dcbacked Yes71c145.51$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.913745.9%17 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Yes24c140$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.614233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes37c121.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.981241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Yes23c115$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2723956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No26c112.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.41,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…7ff3backed Yes67c111.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7528651.4%147 W · 139 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes51c109.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.51540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+60.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed No60c107.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.939618.8%18 W · 78 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Yes21c94.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015940.3%64 W · 95 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No48c89.54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc93b…09d5backed Yes52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x524b…0239backed Yes44c67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c4…cb0cbacked Yes76c65.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e97…a8fbbacked Yes44c58.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No65c54.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.923438.9%91 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd206…8a30backed Yes65c53.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.973066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes35c50.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7934246.8%160 W · 182 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No74c50.09$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0124549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.184240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e9c…0669backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-54.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…9ba4backed No57c49.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.08366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f24…8781backed No33c46.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.26850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cb…885abacked Yes43c46.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c64…63d5backed No57c44.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd00a…bab7backed Yes36c44.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.141154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef17…6583backed Yes45c44.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1886…6cc5backed Yes67c44.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016360.7%99 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623a…2edebacked Yes67c31.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2853…82d8backed No57c31.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes68c29.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dad…0668backed Yes65c26.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.193450%17 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50a5…88a6backed Yes67c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.812347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x611b…b81dbacked No64c22.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce89…e5c4backed No64c21.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f69…4746backed No77c21.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.961070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed No60c18.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.157538.7%29 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5800…9391backed Yes67c15.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x125b…59acbacked Yes69c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.