Golf · resolved market
Will Scottie Scheffler win Gold in Men's Golf?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcc1bfbca17155b1cbfae2631f6525e4e20c9ee780637a54111ea0749d3b1e32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x241e…c7bfbacked No | 6c | 5,244$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…3e97backed No | 8c | 4,444$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0003…857abacked Yes | 19c | 3,158$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +385.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 16c | 1,229$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +338.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 60c | 1,227$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 10c | 700.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 32cpaid | +224.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…c3d4backed No | 78c | 573$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Yes | 66c | 287.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…b488backed Yes | 16c | 279.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ca…f9e6backed Yes | 20c | 219.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +401%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 19c | 215.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 80c | 210.89$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23b…8b75backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.93per pick | 8cpaid | +1,400%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…c62cbacked Yes | 18c | 144.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf61…f8b1backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scottie Scheffler win Gold in Men's Golf?this page
- Will Collin Morikawa win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Joaquin Niemann win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Jon Rahm win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Shane Lowry win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Tom Kim win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will another athlete win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.