Golf · resolved market
Will Jon Rahm win Gold in Men's Golf?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd339e23b4a63f9898b3ee7dff33978f9b826feaaf4a3b14d70c0a33f57d222d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65f2…b488backed Yes | 7c | 640$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…3e97backed Yes | 7c | 410$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed No | 68c | 368.75$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 9c | 365.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…b30fbacked Yes | 32c | 329.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 67c | 300.41$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 32cpaid | +224.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…d227backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23b…8b75backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.93per pick | 8cpaid | +1,400%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb724…7ce0backed No | 71c | 97.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…7e26backed Yes | 17c | 70.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…c069backed Yes | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jon Rahm win Gold in Men's Golf?this page
- Will Collin Morikawa win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Joaquin Niemann win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win Gold in Men's Golf?Yes won
- Will Shane Lowry win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Tom Kim win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
- Will another athlete win Gold in Men's Golf?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.