Mls · resolved market
MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed3b7a37f4d9dfa092f07c8858034f6d067bf7756a33371ed3273d1910b44516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 2,166$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.34 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 31c | 939.33$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.02 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…767cbacked Over | 38c | 919.98$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 404.88$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.15 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 43c | 119.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 38c | 79.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 68c | 73.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Over | 48c | 59.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 50c | 43.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…90dfbacked Under | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -12.3wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 78c | 30.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 19.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 70c | 15.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 6.5this page
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 0.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 1.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 2.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 3.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 8.5Under won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: Team to WinMLS All-Stars won
- Spread: MLS All-Stars (-1.5)Liga MX All-Stars won
- Spread: MLS All-Stars (-2.5)Liga MX All-Stars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.