Mls · resolved market
MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x409d998af25caa0193b947928eda82d6ac62c16cd7621a40b6e1b60646df1a4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Under | 0c | 18,215$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…06bebacked Under | 0c | 5,053$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 3,243$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.74 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 59c | 2,752$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.91 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 49c | 1,344$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.08 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 38c | 1,083$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 840.36$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.81 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 37c | 633.41$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.97 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked Over | 36c | 227.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…d40fbacked Over | 77c | 129.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 78c | 128.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…0ac8backed Under | 66c | 108.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Under | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 50c | 81.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over | 35c | 73.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 37c | 64.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 63c | 60.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 35c | 51.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae48…afbebacked Under | 65c | 35.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 37c | 34.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 65c | 32.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 62c | 27.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 80c | 15.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 5.5this page
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 0.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 1.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 2.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 3.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 8.5Under won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: Team to WinMLS All-Stars won
- Spread: MLS All-Stars (-1.5)Liga MX All-Stars won
- Spread: MLS All-Stars (-2.5)Liga MX All-Stars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.