Mls · resolved market
MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72234be3254d59752c0555d5e2d5f6d72af8f7b084e6a568b67a9688f672ae1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Under | 29c | 8,193$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.68 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 10c | 4,742$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.36 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 71c | 3,231$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.01 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 70c | 2,910$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.61 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 77c | 1,083$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over | 71c | 419.18$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.73 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…d40fbacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 71c | 120.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 78c | 108$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Over | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 32c | 61.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Over | 63c | 43.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 78c | 42.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Over | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 3.5this page
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 0.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 1.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 2.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 8.5Under won
- MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: Team to WinMLS All-Stars won
- Spread: MLS All-Stars (-1.5)Liga MX All-Stars won
- Spread: MLS All-Stars (-2.5)Liga MX All-Stars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.