South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98c98f0c24e1e8f9cd8df115b09d8a306694600a4a20ff58792446bae510e57e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Under | 10c | 2,393$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.89 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 61c | 1,770$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 841.9$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.82 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 12c | 637.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 16c | 590.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 18c | 571$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Under | 9c | 531.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under | 37c | 421.82$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.83 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 52c | 393.23$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.46 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 37c | 390.34$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.38 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 50c | 368.49$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.35 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 291.25$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Under | 8c | 263.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 71c | 251.4$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 10c | 250.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e9…e991backed Under | 67c | 231.94$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 61c | 228.49$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 37c | 209.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…767cbacked Under | 51c | 186.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 75c | 152.82$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Over | 75c | 152.82$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 56c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 39c | 135.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 37c | 123.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 58c | 119.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 53c | 111.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Under | 40c | 96.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 46c | 70.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 71c | 69.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…696cbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Over | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 56c | 26.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 39c | 26.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 64c | 17.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: CA Boca Juniors O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: O'Higgins FC O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)O'Higgins FC won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)O'Higgins FC won
- Spread: O'Higgins FC (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: O'Higgins FC (-2.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.