South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe628e7b49240de9c1e5101843a3deffe5c4dccc87fe0a7aeb0561db409dda386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.94 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 2,128$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.68 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 67c | 1,692$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.54 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 29c | 1,210$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 4c | 1,109$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 4c | 900.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 68c | 352.03$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 74c | 244.84$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 9c | 173.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Under | 76c | 157.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 68c | 147.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 105.78$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…85fbbacked Under | 75c | 102.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 74c | 89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 67c | 32.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 67c | 29.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: CA Boca Juniors O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: O'Higgins FC O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)O'Higgins FC won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)O'Higgins FC won
- Spread: O'Higgins FC (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: O'Higgins FC (-2.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.