TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under49c48,642$23,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,758.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c16,194$8,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,791.343,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c14,446$7,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,023.022,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c6,208$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,979.789954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c2,384$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.7614654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over52c2,352$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.962650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over52c2,185$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.0384850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c2,149$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over52c2,011$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96811443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over52c1,996$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.8814552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c1,209$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.7916543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Over53c1,141$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Under47c1,102$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over51c1,034$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.765740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over52c1,033$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.881855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over51c982.91$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.733033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Under48c968.8$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.021258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over51c951.49$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.2310956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Over52c920$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Over52c747.08$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.63060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over50c657.37$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.6815562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over68c597.27$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9563857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2454420.5%9 W · 35 L-11.8wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.5%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under47c499.96$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.984643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under48c484.4$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.516558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Over51c475.78$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.131154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over51c408.93$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3844952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eae…eab7backed Over51c408.59$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over52c371.57$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.299056.7%51 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over50c327.08$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5417855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under38c310.93$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8638047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over50c303.9$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9517958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over52c282.72$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.521,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over71c282$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.785255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over52c280.39$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.591050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over53c278.7$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.992740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over51c266.88$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.778853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53f2…defdbacked Under19c236$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.761827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c207.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.382254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Under48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.883154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over70c201.55$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0212355.3%68 W · 55 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Under48c200.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9111536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under47c199.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.998331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Over51c198.59$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.311741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over53c194.36$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.352147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over53c192.53$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.492157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58a1…0cd3backed Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+89.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over51c190.29$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.243259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over65c149.59$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6614767.3%99 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over51c145.59$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.341546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under48c141.44$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.89475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+117.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over73c123.31$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.292944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over51c119.54$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.585547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over52c104.52$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.675850%29 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over52c103.96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.93542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Over53c97.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.67560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+59.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.095056%28 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.093964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ff…b09cbacked Over66c83.63$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.423949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over64c79.3$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.663366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over52c78.84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.841,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over51c77.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.592,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over65c75.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.367054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over52c74.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.894358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over51c69.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.267656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Under48c60.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.066136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb11…cdbcbacked Over51c60.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.11764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over52c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2415459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over51c48.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0123461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2516856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Over53c47.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.314546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Over53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.544862.5%30 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.545040%20 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over53c44.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.951877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Over52c43.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.164269%29 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x454d…1359backed Over51c43.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed Under48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a24…f55dbacked Over53c40.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.961258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over53c40.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.961656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Over52c39.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.851957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over51c39.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.241668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…f401backed Over53c38.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.27988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.39per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under48c38.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.65448.1%26 W · 28 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over50c38.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1711674.1%86 W · 30 L+18.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over50c38.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.174967.3%33 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over50c38.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1713067.7%88 W · 42 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over50c38.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.177677.6%59 W · 17 L+13.5wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+35.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over52c38.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.564751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over58c37.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8970239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.245752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb5…8740backed Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.242568%17 W · 8 L+7.1wins+0.28per pick40cpaid+68%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x913f…d2ebbacked Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241580%12 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+49.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under48c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.532646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284a…017ebacked Over53c29.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.74100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over52c28.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6413050%65 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.