Europa Conference League · resolved market
AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd0bd07eb095cc5280890484e993716c357d8efcfdbb39eb0107374c0a88c9fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 49c | 48,642$23,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,758.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 16,194$8,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,791.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 14,446$7,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,023.02 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 6,208$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.78 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 2,384$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.76 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 52c | 2,352$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 52c | 2,185$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.03 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 2,149$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.8 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 52c | 2,011$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 1,996$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.88 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 1,209$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.79 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Over | 53c | 1,141$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Under | 47c | 1,102$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 51c | 1,034$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.76 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 52c | 1,033$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 51c | 982.91$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.73 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Under | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 51c | 951.49$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.23 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 52c | 920$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 52c | 747.08$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 50c | 657.37$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.68 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 597.27$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.95 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -11.8wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Under | 47c | 499.96$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 48c | 484.4$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Over | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 408.93$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.38 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…eab7backed Over | 51c | 408.59$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 52c | 371.57$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 50c | 327.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.54 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 38c | 310.93$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 50c | 303.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.95 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 282.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.52 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 71c | 282$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 52c | 280.39$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 53c | 278.7$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 51c | 266.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.77 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Under | 19c | 236$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 207.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 70c | 201.55$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Under | 48c | 200.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Over | 51c | 198.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 53c | 192.53$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a1…0cd3backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 51c | 190.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 65c | 149.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 51c | 145.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 48c | 141.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 73c | 123.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 51c | 119.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 52c | 104.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 52c | 103.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Over | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…b09cbacked Over | 66c | 83.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 64c | 79.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 52c | 78.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 77.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 52c | 74.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 51c | 69.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Under | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb11…cdbcbacked Over | 51c | 60.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 51c | 48.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Over | 53c | 47.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 53c | 44.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Over | 52c | 43.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454d…1359backed Over | 51c | 43.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Under | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…f55dbacked Over | 53c | 40.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 53c | 40.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Over | 52c | 39.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 51c | 39.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Over | 53c | 38.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 50c | 38.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 50c | 38.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 50c | 38.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 50c | 38.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 52c | 38.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 37.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +7.1wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +68%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284a…017ebacked Over | 53c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 52c | 28.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AEK (-1.5)AEK won
- Spread: AEK (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)AEK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.