Europa Conference League · resolved market
AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d243323ca5616308c2e66a3bf1b3d81b506dbb2ddd863d550ca87ca9cb85de0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 43c | 5,965$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402.72 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 5,591$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.97 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 2,167$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.45 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 815.94$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.03 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 368.32$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Yes | 45c | 313.74$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 52c | 305.79$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 50c | 216.06$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 17c | 179.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 37c | 171.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 49c | 153.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 59c | 144.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 51c | 133.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Yes | 60c | 130.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 47c | 125.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 48c | 100.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 96.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Yes | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 49c | 80.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Yes | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 43c | 59.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 43c | 53.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 42c | 48.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…9715backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Yes | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…f55dbacked Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 43c | 31.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…4ea2backed No | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 39c | 30.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Yes | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e083backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 29.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed No | 64c | 26.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Yes | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 44c | 23.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 56c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 57c | 20.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed No | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AEK (-1.5)AEK won
- Spread: AEK (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)AEK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.