Europa Conference League · resolved market
AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd75eeb1b66458f4f75b81fd38289695550e138cbfa69737f8708589ee3b1395c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,513 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 5,628$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.8 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Over | 56c | 4,369$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.59 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 2,363$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.13 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 44c | 2,315$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 1,805$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.96 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 53c | 1,220$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.48 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 55c | 819.99$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 44c | 723.65$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.41 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 709.31$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.67 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 51c | 626.41$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.58 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 58c | 446.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.14 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 50c | 322.5$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.16 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 51c | 320.9$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.53 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 45c | 262.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 60c | 218.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 50c | 179.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 167.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Over | 61c | 165.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 40c | 159.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 59c | 154.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 145$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 23c | 142.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 58c | 137.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 43c | 118.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 116.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 48c | 115.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 39c | 92.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 60c | 66.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…38f6backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -8.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Under | 42c | 53.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…93b1backed Under | 44c | 45.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.8wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 61c | 43.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa977…f09dbacked Over | 56c | 41.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…3fb9backed Over | 50c | 38.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…3db9backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 44c | 30.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 41c | 27.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 54c | 26.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Under | 42c | 24.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…f55dbacked Over | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 60c | 20.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: O/U 2.5this page
- AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: O/U 3.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)AZ won
- Spread: AZ (-2.5)AZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.