Europa Conference League · resolved market
AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c08ac7b48f77a72a990b1f52479eccb84c121954c52358946b8e4d1467bb623
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,905 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 1,499$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.35 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 42c | 1,468$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 53c | 1,029$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.71 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 58c | 1,012$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.04 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 627.27$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.9 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 626.27$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.11 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 38c | 599.97$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…41bbbacked No | 2c | 503.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +903%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Yes | 61c | 492.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 40c | 397.14$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.19 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked No | 6c | 319.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 59c | 225$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 56c | 220.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 174.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 37c | 170.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.36 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…54bdbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 150.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 107.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 63c | 104.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 62c | 104$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 41c | 98.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 39c | 96.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 14c | 94.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Yes | 58c | 90.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 62c | 81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…d1fdbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Yes | 61c | 71.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 53c | 69.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 62c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 24c | 52.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 46.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…add2backed Yes | 61c | 45.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -8.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 70c | 38.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…57b2backed Yes | 64c | 35.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.8wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 41c | 31.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Yes | 60c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 61c | 28.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 40c | 25.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: O/U 2.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: O/U 3.5Over won
- AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)AZ won
- Spread: AZ (-2.5)AZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.