CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cbea01e95b6e8b1fb9982e7ee2ae2f63d4e564c5476752db4743714db1c32cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Legacy, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed TYLOO | 59c | 1,684$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed TYLOO | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Legacy | 43c | 1,146$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.99 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Legacy | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TYLOO | 57c | 943.14$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.54 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Legacy | 47c | 680.62$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Legacy | 41c | 601.74$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.04 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Legacy | 44c | 445.34$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.34 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…5e86backed TYLOO | 63c | 409.94$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.07 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed TYLOO | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Legacy | 42c | 366.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Legacy | 66c | 347.47$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.14 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Legacy | 42c | 311.21$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Legacy | 37c | 290.94$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.29 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TYLOO | 37c | 259.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed TYLOO | 62c | 252.03$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed Legacy | 43c | 251.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.63 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Legacy | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…797abacked TYLOO | 58c | 234.29$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.89 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Legacy | 50c | 200.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed TYLOO | 51c | 194.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TYLOO | 51c | 193.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…6424backed Legacy | 45c | 169.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TYLOO | 53c | 164.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed TYLOO | 48c | 157.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Legacy | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Legacy | 44c | 113.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed TYLOO | 56c | 105.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Legacy | 64c | 103.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Legacy | 39c | 101.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…d4bfbacked TYLOO | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Legacy | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Legacy | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed TYLOO | 60c | 99.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed TYLOO | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed TYLOO | 58c | 76.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked TYLOO | 58c | 72.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed Legacy | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Legacy | 38c | 61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Legacy | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Legacy | 40c | 47.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Legacy | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…7effbacked TYLOO | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Legacy | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group ALegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.