CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f64ec339b56fc4235a0f50ce2672aa8ea3c7c73034044af99e116ef4c8c5adb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FaZeof FaZe, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Alliance | 59c | 6,500$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834.97 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked FaZe | 45c | 3,594$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.2 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked FaZe | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.44 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alliance | 23c | 2,703$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.75 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Alliance | 61c | 2,602$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.15 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed FaZe | 41c | 2,147$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.91 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Alliance | 59c | 1,694$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.46 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed FaZe | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed FaZe | 54c | 1,382$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.5 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Alliance | 35c | 1,303$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.62 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed FaZe | 41c | 1,222$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.76 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked FaZe | 54c | 1,077$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.35 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Alliance | 49c | 1,029$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.42 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Alliance | 36c | 868.83$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.87 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed Alliance | 62c | 822.58$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed FaZe | 41c | 815.43$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.1 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Alliance | 57c | 749.98$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.49 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed FaZe | 56c | 700$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.08 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed FaZe | 43c | 683.49$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.59 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed FaZe | 41c | 623.88$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.64 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Alliance | 57c | 602.09$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.19 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed FaZe | 41c | 543.9$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.9 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Alliance | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Alliance | 62c | 496.29$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.01 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…797abacked FaZe | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Alliance | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Alliance | 62c | 268$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.91 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed FaZe | 55c | 249.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Alliance | 60c | 237$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Alliance | 58c | 210.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Alliance | 57c | 208$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.48 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed FaZe | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…08dbbacked FaZe | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…60cbbacked FaZe | 41c | 171$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Alliance | 50c | 159.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked FaZe | 43c | 136.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cc…6193backed FaZe | 41c | 136.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked FaZe | 39c | 127.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed FaZe | 40c | 126.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed FaZe | 66c | 125$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked FaZe | 41c | 123.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked FaZe | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed FaZe | 60c | 101.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed FaZe | 66c | 96.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked FaZe | 41c | 68.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Alliance | 29c | 59.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked FaZe | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FaZe | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked Alliance | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed FaZe | 54c | 49.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Alliance | 61c | 45.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Alliance | 43c | 41.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked FaZe | 53c | 40.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Alliance | 39c | 37.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Alliance | 47c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…fdf3backed Alliance | 61c | 31.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked FaZe | 50c | 29.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Alliance | 49c | 29.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked Alliance | 47c | 24.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…19c3backed FaZe | 68c | 21.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked FaZe | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…bf0cbacked FaZe | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Alliance | 72c | 19.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Alliance | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alliance | 58c | 18.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Alliance | 69c | 15.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 PlayoffsFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.