TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x252b…a2c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44.59
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$27.3
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$27.3
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$35.7
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$35
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.