Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5107d791f60e8232473ee9be397a90d7aec2a889951f23cbf17cb1fe8121cf15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof BetBoom Team, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked BetBoom Team | 43c | 5,541$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.17 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed PlayTime | 65c | 2,389$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.13 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked PlayTime | 41c | 1,940$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked PlayTime | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.77 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed BetBoom Team | 36c | 277.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed PlayTime | 63c | 275.15$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed BetBoom Team | 39c | 257.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked PlayTime | 63c | 210.81$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…8fa3backed BetBoom Team | 37c | 210.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked BetBoom Team | 66c | 196.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed PlayTime | 33c | 161.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed PlayTime | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team | 36c | 126.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed PlayTime | 62c | 116.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed BetBoom Team | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…f428backed PlayTime | 65c | 36.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +18.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed PlayTime | 61c | 30.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…cad6backed BetBoom Team | 39c | 30.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked PlayTime | 65c | 30.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed PlayTime | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 148 | 68.9%102 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 24.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.