NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb81c7982580eab5b0dfae873aa28740ef1dda0f3f75864c36a5070a269e7df2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,332 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ef3…4671backed Over | 43c | 8,202$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 57c | 5,242$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 4,616$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 3,179$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.64 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Under | 56c | 3,109$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.06 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Over | 44c | 1,424$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 57c | 455.67$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.73 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 39c | 337.73$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.69 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 57c | 307.63$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.11 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Under | 57c | 297.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 271.19$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…4897backed Over | 39c | 238.46$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 60c | 230.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…7f28backed Under | 61c | 182.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 44c | 173.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 46c | 165.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 62c | 161.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Over | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 42c | 144$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Under | 61c | 142.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 50c | 123.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 44c | 123.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 108.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 97.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 92.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 41c | 87.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 45c | 82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…e9f2backed Under | 57c | 64.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 61c | 64.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 55.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…7ca8backed Under | 61c | 55.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 40c | 53.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…ae99backed Under | 61c | 48.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 44c | 38.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 39c | 32.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 39c | 29.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9f…339bbacked Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…cca2backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Over | 46c | 22.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…8de0backed Under | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Under | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Under | 58c | 21.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-0.5)Nets won
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. NetsNets won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-3.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-4.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-6.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-8.5)Nets won
- Terance Mann: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Terance Mann: Points O/U 8.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.