NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab10926ea1580fbc1b528da0cd4ae69f871e8cd49a33ffdcfc39775034371187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,301 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 50c | 106,135$52,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,969.57 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 38,554$19,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,209.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 11,342$5,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,562.08 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 10,982$5,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.21 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 52c | 3,844$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.28 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 2,680$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 2,200$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.34 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 2,195$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.35 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 1,462$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.62 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 1,035$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.66 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 349.16$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 40c | 322.39$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 50c | 262.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 52c | 241.54$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 55c | 237.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 31c | 208.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 49c | 205.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 12c | 188.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 57c | 160$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 53c | 131.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Over | 53c | 131.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 49c | 130.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 34c | 110.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked Over | 51c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Over | 52c | 96.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 52c | 86.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 48c | 84.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 52c | 77.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 52c | 76.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked Under | 49c | 51.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…ea7bbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…cf66backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…f754backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 51c | 36.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 45c | 27.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc467…4cc3backed Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 49c | 24.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 23.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked Over | 51c | 23.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 52c | 22.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…15fbbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 70c | 17.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-0.5)Nets won
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. NetsNets won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-3.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-4.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-6.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-8.5)Nets won
- Terance Mann: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Terance Mann: Points O/U 8.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.