NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4479bef0722fd9ed2fe8690f05bf5c66685115b4265aa8ceb1ff57e8cd1dd539
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,488 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 57c | 23,829$13,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,655.56 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 22,903$9,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,172 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7023…54efbacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 3,806$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 2,447$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…6a60backed Over | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…8a9bbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe263…288cbacked Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1511…c882backed Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…3775backed Under | 54c | 1,022$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 46c | 786.5$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.71 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 43c | 765$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.05 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…0c9fbacked Under | 54c | 701$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 45c | 687.81$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.24 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…8039backed Under | 54c | 678$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 46c | 393$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 388.26$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.66 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ce…003dbacked Over | 47c | 179$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 176.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…3f14backed Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 55c | 124.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 86.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 47c | 81.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…a6e3backed Under | 53c | 79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 47c | 69.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 40c | 67.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 43c | 62.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 49c | 59.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 53.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f2…0884backed Under | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 59c | 50.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 50.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 50.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…aaa0backed Under | 60c | 50.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…7f52backed Under | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf525…559dbacked Over | 46c | 32.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked Over | 54c | 31.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…6639backed Under | 54c | 28.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 42c | 25.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…cca2backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-0.5)Nets won
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. NetsNets won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-3.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-4.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-6.5)Nets won
- Spread: Nets (-8.5)Nets won
- Terance Mann: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Terance Mann: Points O/U 8.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.