TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,917 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under52c74,517$38,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,747.2843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under52c36,578$18,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,943.5938253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c36,007$17,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,562.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over48c30,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,6001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c25,349$12,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,894.531,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c14,697$7,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c12,417$5,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,457.014,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over52c9,602$4,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,644.915750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under51c8,539$4,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,312.2921653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c7,934$3,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,921.136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over48c7,292$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,791.6734854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over48c6,417$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,336.6749246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c4,936$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.931,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over50c3,300$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65026637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c2,814$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.448,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c2,795$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.314,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c2,256$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.772,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Over52c2,211$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.045341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.0844252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over50c1,842$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92124847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,508$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.65,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c1,364$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.533,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50050239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over51c911.94$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.6525840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c889.22$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.913,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c676$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.762,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c599.99$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c346$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over49c290.61$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2117850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3859…0ddbbacked Over54c286.24$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.321127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c221.09$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.74,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10055533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c180.85$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.973,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over49c161.4$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.141,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Over50c134.14$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.073369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under51c125.41$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9676552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over50c111.7$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8511158.6%65 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0875…167cbacked Under50c108.1$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.523565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5233949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under50c94.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3230151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under42c92.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.721,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under50c90.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4125655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Over50c80.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2725651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.86150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0cf…6639backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.86440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3868…74f9backed Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over49c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6667248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc95…f754backed Over48c65.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.832369.6%16 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+53.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Over50c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2916953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c56.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.642,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under41c50.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7390357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabae…d62dbacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.58145.7%37 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Under51c48.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.898251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over48c41.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6691746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over49c40.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8515752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under51c40.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5535843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c94…1f7dbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203070%21 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2020144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2024442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Over50c33.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9137845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Over49c33.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2417153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e0c…ceeabacked Over49c32.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6242…c0d1backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.759050%45 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under50c31.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6552552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over50c31.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7345460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b2b…1477backed Over50c27.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6512749.6%63 W · 64 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c24.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.682,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over50c23.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8819245.3%87 W · 105 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over49c23.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0718241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c2e…8c68backed Over49c20.47$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4989…2ca4backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.