Fifa International · resolved market
Will a Goal be Scored During 16-30 Minute?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58a0cd13983c7278b91c5a804b5c0eabf688a5dcdafd8fbc21d2caaa1d8b3e7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bdc…9b4cbacked No | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 207.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 192.5$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x232d…da84backed No | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 70c | 84.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…8717backed No | 67c | 67.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…0e24backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked No | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 39.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 35c | 34.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…13b0backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…9338backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…cb5ebacked No | 68c | 15.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed No | 70c | 14.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a Goal be Scored During 16-30 Minute?this page
- Will a Goal be Scored During 1-15 Minute?No won
- Will a Goal be Scored During 106-120 Minute?Yes won
- Will a Goal be Scored During 31-45 Minute?No won
- Will a Goal be Scored During 46-60 Minute?No won
- Will a Goal be Scored During 61-75 Minute?No won
- Will a Goal be Scored During 76-90 Minute?No won
- Will a Goal be Scored During 91-105 Minute?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.