TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Wales vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,292
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,292 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No69c12,708$8,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,820.991,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes23c11,999$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,239.5917034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No71c6,501$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,590.242,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes30c5,020$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,526.313,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes22c4,337$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,365.921,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes14c2,967$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.0546223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No68c2,113$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.5241968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes24c2,094$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.323,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No74c2,052$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.621,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes41c2,049$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.7821048.6%102 W · 108 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No66c2,028$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.872,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9511654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No78c1,706$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.9284738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ab…723dbacked No75c1,577$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes29c1,478$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.266839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c1,439$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.984,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes25c1,314$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.1315127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes29c1,311$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.141,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4550…f741backed Yes30c1,283$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.333125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed No59c1,093$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.7113351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked No72c927.99$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.163035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No11c868.36$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2945039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes27c818.41$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.4410929.4%32 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No73c799.1$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.811,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes21c730.91$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.4226534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes41c697.74$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.668445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No51c696.13$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.0744435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes29c678.38$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.653630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes28c582$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.9511520%23 W · 92 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5353…51b9backed Yes19c531.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.487948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No71c510.43$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No70c502.3$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.162,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No61c501.84$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.4523345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No71c493.08$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.4123940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No69c489.81$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.9314132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.82740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes25c417.67$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.0374034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c413.67$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.4993542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes13c400$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34823820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes26c368$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3211820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No63c359$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.361,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No26c349.42$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1945947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes57c348.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.712,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.839235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3351429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c7…5864backed Yes30c314$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.82040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Yes28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21637451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No54c278$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.352,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Yes28c267.86$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.869815.3%15 W · 83 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes26c265$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.117747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes29c255.92$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.713,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Yes23c250$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.56126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Yes29c224$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.043423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-44.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde35…4bc8backed Yes30c223.33$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.33560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e0…88a5backed No11c214.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.173246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e11…d8eabacked Yes30c213.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes24c212.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3528626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018038.3%69 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11218832.4%61 W · 127 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011544.3%51 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5711965.5%78 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes17c174.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.186435.9%23 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No60c167.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0287651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes30c163.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2841451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes30c163.35$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6735549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes29c157.32$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.73,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes22c150.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.51,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No72c143.6$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9227745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf343…de78backed Yes30c143.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes21c142.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8628326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes32c140.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6339648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9444…5db6backed Yes28c140.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08e4…e173backed No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012846.9%60 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf27…4867backed Yes39c134.14$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.46728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes21c120$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.823732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No71c108$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6839746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b13…ade2backed Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.452842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c103.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No14c102.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0857541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e41…ca06backed No72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No71c99.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9928148.4%136 W · 145 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No25c99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.192,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes29c98.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2713643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1516040.6%65 W · 95 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes27c95.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1210539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes17c91.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8135658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes22c91.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6727538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c87.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.678,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes30c85.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8717148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3329138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdad…fb9ebacked Yes30c83.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.231546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Yes30c83.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1970948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No15c79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.982,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e07…c588backed Yes32c78.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.845939%23 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Yes45c66.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8923529.8%70 W · 165 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…0f4cbacked No78c66.81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.113650%18 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6267…e1d4backed Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.67933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x566c…3d03backed No65c65.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.86942%29 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.