Tennis · resolved market
Birmingham: Kayla Day vs Hanne Vandewinkel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3869f115d4e8b776e7ef51b00bc8745ee551a82f1ca5c8be37389e12c86d0527
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kayla Dayof Kayla Day, Hanne Vandewinkel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 75c | 7,814$5,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,860.18 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kayla Day | 39c | 6,093$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.27 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kayla Day | 55c | 2,827$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.04 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kayla Day | 25c | 2,652$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.77 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 10c | 1,787$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.28 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 49c | 1,221$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.18 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 41c | 1,158$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.12 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 72c | 1,122$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Kayla Day | 44c | 1,028$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.61 | 342 | 42.4%145 W · 197 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 55c | 990$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.5 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…75bcbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 9c | 640.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 56c | 631.32$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.54 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 2c | 631$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 49c | 589.78$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.7 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 14c | 513.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Kayla Day | 45c | 486.67$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.67 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 15c | 468.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 52c | 400.92$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.44 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…a26ebacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 3c | 372.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 56c | 350.88$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.49 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…4b2fbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 29c | 340.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Kayla Day | 70c | 276.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 53c | 265.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked Kayla Day | 55c | 247.18$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Kayla Day | 60c | 238.22$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kayla Day | 44c | 227.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kayla Day | 28c | 220.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.94 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dee…5d00backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 8c | 200.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 55c | 183.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…17e8backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 8c | 178.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 55c | 176.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…2d49backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Kayla Day | 53c | 163$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kayla Day | 78c | 153.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 67c | 149$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kayla Day | 57c | 141.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Kayla Day | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 75c | 132$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 14c | 128.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Kayla Day | 46c | 118.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 9c | 117.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Kayla Day | 46c | 112.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kayla Day | 52c | 107.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Kayla Day | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 42c | 99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 54c | 92.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 16c | 92.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 54c | 87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 53c | 78.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 24c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 57c | 70.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Kayla Day | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Kayla Day | 44c | 60.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Kayla Day | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Kayla Day | 32c | 43.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…dbf9backed Kayla Day | 49c | 40.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 56c | 37.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…88a5backed Kayla Day | 65c | 35.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 78c | 34.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…5ccabacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 55c | 33.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Kayla Day | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Kayla Day | 76c | 27.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 54c | 25.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Kayla Day | 45c | 23.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Kayla Day | 74c | 20.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 55c | 19.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham: Kayla Day vs Hanne Vandewinkelthis page
- Day vs. Vandewinkel: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Day vs. Vandewinkel: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Day vs VandewinkelDay won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.