CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1972dd7197a1f412933123de78b6725b25701e51e9cfb1117b0b1d89aafb8bc0

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Imperialof Imperial, Isurus
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,040
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,040 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial	76c	2,040$1,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.93	5,095	55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L	+119.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Isurus	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	321	36.8%118 W · 203 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Isurus	20c	1,584$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.7	1,431	39%558 W · 873 L	-41.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Isurus	16c	1,500$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.72	2,456	44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L	-67.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Isurus	24c	1,172$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.33	5,876	37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L	+71.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Imperial	79c	1,041$822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.6	5,580	47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L	+47.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial	68c	918.47$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.13	7,990	50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L	+180.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Imperial	73c	892.96$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.48	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Isurus	19c	782.68$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.89	630	38.6%243 W · 387 L	-26.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Isurus	24c	753.97$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.63	4,099	51%2,091 W · 2,008 L	+74.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Imperial	77c	657.88$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.31	610	55.9%341 W · 269 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Isurus	17c	646.62$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.89	1,041	53.1%553 W · 488 L	+63.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Isurus	19c	637$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.8	5,341	31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L	-390.7wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Isurus	33c	627.27$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	144	47.9%69 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Imperial	79c	609.5$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.1	1,110	54.2%602 W · 508 L	+38.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial	79c	607.93$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.57	6,501	42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L	-79.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Isurus	22c	532.19$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.87	3,267	45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L	-85.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Isurus	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Isurus	24c	407.67$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.84	193	51.3%99 W · 94 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Isurus	15c	379$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.18	1,890	41.9%791 W · 1,099 L	-71.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Isurus	16c	358.58$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.15	2,195	43.1%946 W · 1,249 L	-68.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…af79backed Isurus	20c	351.26$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Isurus	25c	314.84$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.71	521	50.3%262 W · 259 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Isurus	10c	266.4$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.68	133	42.1%56 W · 77 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Imperial	70c	258.76$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.76	306	22.9%70 W · 236 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-22%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Isurus	23c	239.61$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.06	275	44%121 W · 154 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Isurus	11c	228.79$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.85	432	53%229 W · 203 L	+27.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Isurus	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	375	49.1%184 W · 191 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Isurus	22c	225.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed Imperial	76c	221.45$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.8	132	58.3%77 W · 55 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Isurus	14c	220.06$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.68	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb969…1d37backed Isurus	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Imperial	70c	190.89$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.08	1,790	59.2%1,060 W · 730 L	+106.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Isurus	19c	180.21$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.63	917	43.7%401 W · 516 L	-35.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Isurus	14c	157$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.26	2,393	46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Isurus	16c	154.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.73	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Isurus	8c	154.29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.62	3,544	29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L	-289.1wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0be3…35febacked Imperial	75c	130.17$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.54	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	74cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Isurus	18c	127$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.29	2,554	41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L	-116.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Isurus	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Isurus	21c	120$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	160	32.5%52 W · 108 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Isurus	26c	119.04$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.65	1,121	42.5%476 W · 645 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…6871backed Isurus	18c	101.02$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.81	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5af8…9f99backed Imperial	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Imperial	73c	98.13$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.84	1,523	51.5%785 W · 738 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Isurus	23c	88.33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	401	40.6%163 W · 238 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d9…3f76backed Isurus	25c	85$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-5.2wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7fe…b4e9backed Imperial	75c	85$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.05	70	60%42 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Isurus	22c	82.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.55	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Isurus	23c	82.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	562	39.5%222 W · 340 L	-21.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Isurus	18c	78.34$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	364	34.1%124 W · 240 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Isurus	23c	76.45$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	1,895	47.8%906 W · 989 L	-50.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Imperial	72c	55$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.35	624	48.2%301 W · 323 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Imperial	69c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.46	212	51.9%110 W · 102 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Imperial	67c	43.52$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.36	408	57.1%233 W · 175 L	+15.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Isurus	26c	42$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.07	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cb4…da4fbacked Imperial	78c	40$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92e3…eb51backed Imperial	78c	37.5$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.42	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked Imperial	78c	31.25$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.92	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Imperial	74c	31.24$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.12	196	59.7%117 W · 79 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Imperial	69c	30.06$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.46	418	53.6%224 W · 194 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Imperial	69c	28.43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.87	746	53.5%399 W · 347 L	+9.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Imperial	68c	27.45$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.68	514	46.9%241 W · 273 L	-22.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90d1…2cf6backed Imperial	79c	18.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.94	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed Imperial	75c	17.33$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.33	351	47.9%168 W · 183 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Imperial	67c	17$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.61	504	58.5%295 W · 209 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13ff…2506backed Imperial	80c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a2…2250backed Imperial	77c	14.7$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.38	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 PlayoffsImperial won
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 WinnerIsurus won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)Isurus won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event