CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78bf195971de4ba753aa0425d33def459ca48228937425615727bd8a69c1a98b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isurusof Imperial, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 77c | 3,238$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.9 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Isurus | 11c | 1,811$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.49 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Isurus | 10c | 1,750$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.7 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Isurus | 22c | 1,500$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.15 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Imperial | 76c | 1,304$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.41 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Isurus | 25c | 1,239$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.29 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Isurus | 19c | 1,095$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.11 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Imperial | 75c | 900.2$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.32 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…b4cabacked Isurus | 22c | 576.41$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.6 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Isurus | 25c | 567$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Isurus | 22c | 553.42$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.67 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Imperial | 73c | 550.22$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.63 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Isurus | 31c | 463$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Imperial | 62c | 461$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.82 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked Isurus | 23c | 440$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Imperial | 79c | 362.21$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.27 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Isurus | 24c | 337.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.67 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Isurus | 24c | 337.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.4 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Isurus | 16c | 321.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.36 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Isurus | 21c | 307$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.13 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Imperial | 78c | 282.25$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.26 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Isurus | 24c | 263.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.03 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6f…958ebacked Imperial | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Isurus | 27c | 232.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.44 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Imperial | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Isurus | 56c | 185.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Imperial | 66c | 178.19$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Isurus | 25c | 176$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Isurus | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Isurus | 23c | 156.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.31 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Imperial | 78c | 154$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Isurus | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…35febacked Imperial | 79c | 145.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Imperial | 75c | 129$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Imperial | 79c | 124.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Isurus | 25c | 121.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Isurus | 23c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Isurus | 24c | 106.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Imperial | 69c | 99.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Isurus | 22c | 95.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Isurus | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Isurus | 19c | 94.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc22f…b653backed Isurus | 24c | 93.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Isurus | 25c | 78.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Isurus | 25c | 78.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Isurus | 20c | 75.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Isurus | 23c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Imperial | 60c | 72.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Isurus | 26c | 71.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Imperial | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Imperial | 75c | 61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Isurus | 26c | 57.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Imperial | 78c | 54.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Isurus | 54c | 52.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Imperial | 69c | 43.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Imperial | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Isurus | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Imperial | 64c | 40.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0569…73a3backed Imperial | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Imperial | 78c | 37.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Imperial | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Imperial | 77c | 19.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Imperial | 79c | 18.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Imperial | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Imperial | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Imperial | 79c | 13.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…e948backed Imperial | 79c | 13.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Imperial | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)Isurus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.