CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cf09a6d6be9217f4555b307677aaf8687818e2c6aea44f18b65b3058b278e19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isurusof Imperial, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 58c | 20,020$11,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,709.55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Isurus | 42c | 17,500$7,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,127.02 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Imperial | 58c | 3,404$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.05 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Imperial | 59c | 1,961$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.19 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Isurus | 42c | 1,500$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.92 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Isurus | 37c | 1,060$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.79 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Imperial | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Imperial | 58c | 862.07$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.71 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Isurus | 38c | 810.53$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.53 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Isurus | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Isurus | 41c | 691.94$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.24 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Isurus | 40c | 498.9$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.7 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Isurus | 38c | 448$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.76 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Isurus | 43c | 445.41$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.66 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Imperial | 58c | 420$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Isurus | 42c | 420$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Isurus | 39c | 414.73$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.99 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Isurus | 42c | 400$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.8 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Isurus | 40c | 337.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Isurus | 42c | 335.71$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.71 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Isurus | 43c | 304.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Isurus | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Imperial | 57c | 271.93$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Imperial | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Isurus | 41c | 244.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Isurus | 41c | 204.88$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Isurus | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Isurus | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Isurus | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Isurus | 41c | 193$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.87 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Isurus | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Imperial | 57c | 178.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Isurus | 40c | 166.27$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Isurus | 42c | 164.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…0e9cbacked Isurus | 39c | 126.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Isurus | 40c | 124.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Isurus | 42c | 120.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Isurus | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Isurus | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Imperial | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Isurus | 41c | 109.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Isurus | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Imperial | 59c | 98.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Imperial | 56c | 95.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Isurus | 42c | 93.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Isurus | 43c | 91.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Imperial | 59c | 90.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Isurus | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Imperial | 61c | 59.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Isurus | 43c | 58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Imperial | 59c | 50.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Isurus | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Isurus | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Isurus | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Isurus | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Isurus | 42c | 35.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Imperial | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Isurus | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Isurus | 41c | 24.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Isurus | 44c | 24.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked Isurus | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 277 | 46.2%128 W · 149 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Imperial | 63c | 22.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Imperial | 57c | 19.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 WinnerIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.