TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Imperialof Imperial, Isurus
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Imperial59c6,995$4,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.6992456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Isurus15c5,228$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.2519229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Isurus43c4,957$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.475652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Isurus39c3,610$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.081,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Isurus20c2,411$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.321,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Isurus20c2,091$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.862,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Imperial60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80021953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Isurus25c1,951$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.861,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Imperial73c1,921$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.551252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Isurus15c1,452$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8223732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Isurus17c1,345$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.65,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Imperial70c1,328$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.9913147.3%62 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Isurus16c1,047$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5848240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebd9…bdc7backed Isurus42c787.49$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Imperial66c761.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0320156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Imperial79c753.46$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9315052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Imperial76c745.21$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.211,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Imperial69c742.95$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5960853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Isurus14c714.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.135131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Isurus16c690.73$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.942,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5120…b26bbacked Isurus15c666.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Isurus15c652.86$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9346243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Isurus36c544$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.992821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-54.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Imperial65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17576546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Isurus40c484.28$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.941,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Isurus34c480$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5866446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Isurus22c470.83$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.552,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Isurus15c465.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.720045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Isurus20c458.77$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.68345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Isurus23c437.93$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2575833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Isurus15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013354.9%73 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Isurus39c399.95$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.671,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Isurus18c389.06$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.633,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Imperial74c370.66$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.822,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Isurus25c349.96$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2937922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Isurus42c348.09$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5552150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Imperial75c326.48$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.258745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Imperial57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12925944.8%116 W · 143 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Imperial65c299.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1824562%152 W · 93 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Isurus18c298.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3851252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Isurus24c293$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.882,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Imperial61c291.9$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.842751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Isurus15c280$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5348851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial72c273.44$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.86,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Isurus36c270$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.256738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Imperial64c263.02$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.464,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Imperial56c249.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.992646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Isurus18c225.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.132,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Isurus15c220$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe91e…9ea8backed Isurus9c219.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6810338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed Isurus27c202.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9516550.3%83 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Isurus15c188.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.252,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed Imperial79c188.01$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3229455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Isurus40c184.2$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.634,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Isurus26c182$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.95,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Isurus15c176.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.515637.2%58 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Isurus22c175$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.539440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Imperial76c173.09$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.812,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Imperial72c171.03$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0261338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Isurus11c169.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3427037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Imperial60c164.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8339038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a3…d89bbacked Imperial60c158.28$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.541080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Isurus15c158$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1388330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Isurus22c144.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.311,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb969…1d37backed Isurus35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9107…75e0backed Isurus14c142$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.886924.6%17 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae8…625ebacked Isurus15c134.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Isurus24c130.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.051,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Imperial78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2158149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Isurus9c128.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9513342.1%56 W · 77 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Isurus20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521636.1%78 W · 138 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Isurus41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026048.5%126 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24cc…0927backed Imperial57c121.05$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0513254.5%72 W · 60 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Isurus13c121$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2638032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Isurus18c120$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2280740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Imperial74c117.16$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.524,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Isurus17c116$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8791743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc22f…b653backed Isurus16c114.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+108.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Isurus18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Isurus44c105.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4322555.6%125 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Isurus20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5af8…9f99backed Imperial62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382763%17 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed Isurus44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Isurus14c99.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaac4…73fabacked Isurus26c96.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c4…74bbbacked Imperial61c93$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.274355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f3…ac83backed Isurus23c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Imperial76c89.77$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.181,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed Imperial66c88.58$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1234547.5%164 W · 181 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed Imperial57c87.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8824842.3%105 W · 143 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed Isurus23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Isurus18c86.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9d…de16backed Imperial71c78.14$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0214060%84 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Isurus40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016032.5%52 W · 108 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Isurus15c75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.324054.6%131 W · 109 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Isurus40c72.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9262248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Isurus42c71.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3096543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Isurus23c67.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3163038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Isurus29c65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0524558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Isurus19c61.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.654339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.