Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x890eadf3cb408743c77f84bee4c15fe64c89f942312e6b6f7b62949a46f37a11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 NORDof Team Orange Gaming, G2 NORD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked G2 NORD | 77c | 3,895$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.66 | 348 | 58%202 W · 146 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…d05abacked Team Orange Gaming | 13c | 3,771$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 226 | 67.3%152 W · 74 L | +27.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 25c | 2,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Team Orange Gaming | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 221 | 58.4%129 W · 92 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Team Orange Gaming | 29c | 1,031$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed G2 NORD | 76c | 999.2$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.18 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Team Orange Gaming | 4c | 900$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 566 | 10.4%59 W · 507 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Orange Gaming | 28c | 750$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Team Orange Gaming | 27c | 700$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.15 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Team Orange Gaming | 13c | 565.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 219 | 53.9%118 W · 101 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,223 | 48.6%594 W · 629 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Team Orange Gaming | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed G2 NORD | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 199 | 59.8%119 W · 80 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed G2 NORD | 73c | 495.89$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed G2 NORD | 75c | 401.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Team Orange Gaming | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 46.4%365 W · 421 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…55babacked G2 NORD | 77c | 383.76$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked G2 NORD | 77c | 371.24$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked G2 NORD | 73c | 340$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 440 | 51.4%226 W · 214 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 7c | 260$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 28c | 252$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 521 | 49.9%260 W · 261 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Orange Gaming | 25c | 251.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 21c | 251$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 364 | 58.8%214 W · 150 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 NORD | 77c | 237.45$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Orange Gaming | 22c | 207.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 885 | 44.3%392 W · 493 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…35febacked G2 NORD | 76c | 205.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Orange Gaming | 21c | 192.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…4d59backed Team Orange Gaming | 13c | 187.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Team Orange Gaming | 28c | 142.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 424 | 50.5%214 W · 210 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 NORD | 72c | 135.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed G2 NORD | 76c | 131.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 665 | 58.8%391 W · 274 L | -37.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 21c | 112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Team Orange Gaming | 25c | 104.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed G2 NORD | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 974 | 52.5%511 W · 463 L | +36.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 NORD | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 889 | 49.6%441 W · 448 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Orange Gaming | 23c | 73.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1,412 | 43.8%618 W · 794 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked G2 NORD | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed G2 NORD | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff85…e923backed Team Orange Gaming | 28c | 65.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -10.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 22c | 63.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed G2 NORD | 73c | 57.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Team Orange Gaming | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked G2 NORD | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 860 | 54.7%470 W · 390 L | +32.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Orange Gaming | 23c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,244 | 39.7%494 W · 750 L | -69.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed G2 NORD | 76c | 45.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 73cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…bfe2backed Team Orange Gaming | 27c | 43.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…0115backed Team Orange Gaming | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 369 | 55.3%204 W · 165 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed G2 NORD | 77c | 32.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed G2 NORD | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 335 | 63.3%212 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked G2 NORD | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 977 | 44.8%438 W · 539 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 NORD | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 1,085 | 46.2%501 W · 584 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked G2 NORD | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 874 | 43.1%377 W · 497 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked G2 NORD | 76c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Team Orange Gaming (+1.5)G2 NORD won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group BG2 NORD won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 1 WinnerG2 NORD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.