Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c7fe52eb7405b5975a7aced25e4d468a238cb83ca9013ef30ee5c3f2429203f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 NORDof Team Orange Gaming, G2 NORD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Orange Gaming | 20c | 2,754$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.85 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed G2 NORD | 80c | 1,875$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Orange Gaming | 17c | 1,570$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.59 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed G2 NORD | 79c | 1,454$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.28 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 21c | 957.22$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 15c | 643.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Orange Gaming | 17c | 574.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…ae9fbacked G2 NORD | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 245 | 63.7%156 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed G2 NORD | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Orange Gaming | 20c | 475.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 525 | 43.8%230 W · 295 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 18c | 337$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 14c | 291$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Orange Gaming | 15c | 289.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Team Orange Gaming | 20c | 248.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Orange Gaming | 10c | 245.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…c14dbacked Team Orange Gaming | 19c | 231.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed G2 NORD | 76c | 220.95$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Orange Gaming | 22c | 211.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked G2 NORD | 77c | 178.05$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 NORD | 76c | 165$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Team Orange Gaming | 19c | 143.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed G2 NORD | 80c | 117.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Orange Gaming | 21c | 113.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e2…40b6backed Team Orange Gaming | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…ce31backed Team Orange Gaming | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Team Orange Gaming | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Team Orange Gaming | 13c | 91.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked G2 NORD | 76c | 90.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…7fcabacked Team Orange Gaming | 13c | 85.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Team Orange Gaming | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed G2 NORD | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked G2 NORD | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…c8b9backed Team Orange Gaming | 27c | 39.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 179 | 39.1%70 W · 109 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked G2 NORD | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked G2 NORD | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed G2 NORD | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…22dcbacked G2 NORD | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9575…cd83backed G2 NORD | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed G2 NORD | 80c | 24.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed G2 NORD | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked G2 NORD | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked G2 NORD | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed G2 NORD | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bthis page
- Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Team Orange Gaming (+1.5)G2 NORD won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 1 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 2 WinnerG2 NORD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.