Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Team Orange Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ef70b364deda4836b442489f814999a638d85b26aeeb3113c30337dfd5fb042
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 NORDof G2 NORD, Team Orange Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Orange Gaming | 43c | 1,286$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.14 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed G2 NORD | 60c | 1,000$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.33 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed G2 NORD | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Orange Gaming | 43c | 410.18$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.38 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Team Orange Gaming | 43c | 279$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked G2 NORD | 56c | 177.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed G2 NORD | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Orange Gaming | 43c | 135$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Orange Gaming | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed G2 NORD | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 316 | 61.1%193 W · 123 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked G2 NORD | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Team Orange Gaming | 42c | 30.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Team Orange Gaming | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed G2 NORD | 54c | 24.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 392 | 51.3%201 W · 191 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Team Orange Gaming (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group BG2 NORD won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 1 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 2 WinnerG2 NORD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.