CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d494f6f82675d27a20567b3d8653c6e76c4d7bfd28319e1fa45aa4515990fd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, WBT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Misa Esports | 71c | 10,200$7,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.54 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WBT | 29c | 4,149$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.04 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed WBT | 32c | 1,530$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.57 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Misa Esports | 67c | 985.11$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked WBT | 28c | 921.29$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.39 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed WBT | 26c | 807.41$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed WBT | 33c | 721$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.11 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked WBT | 27c | 674.52$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.54 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 75c | 643.09$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WBT | 35c | 633.16$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.61 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked WBT | 31c | 564.34$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked WBT | 29c | 414$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed WBT | 18c | 413$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked WBT | 32c | 396.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Misa Esports | 74c | 359.04$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed WBT | 33c | 345.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Misa Esports | 75c | 293.73$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed WBT | 32c | 276.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed WBT | 29c | 269.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked WBT | 29c | 249.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked WBT | 28c | 230.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked WBT | 32c | 228.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 221.66$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked WBT | 22c | 205.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked WBT | 32c | 190$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked WBT | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 68c | 177.37$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed WBT | 30c | 171.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Misa Esports | 63c | 162$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked WBT | 27c | 156.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed WBT | 28c | 146.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked WBT | 28c | 146.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed WBT | 36c | 141$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed WBT | 27c | 138.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed WBT | 32c | 135.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked WBT | 27c | 118.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked WBT | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked WBT | 26c | 112.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed WBT | 32c | 110.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed WBT | 22c | 109.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Misa Esports | 64c | 100.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…14e7backed WBT | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed WBT | 22c | 97.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked WBT | 28c | 93.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked WBT | 13c | 86.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked WBT | 31c | 82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed WBT | 29c | 78.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked WBT | 34c | 78.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…6993backed WBT | 28c | 72.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed WBT | 16c | 70.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 143 | 22.4%32 W · 111 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed Misa Esports | 71c | 69.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked WBT | 26c | 67.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed WBT | 31c | 63.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed WBT | 34c | 53.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Misa Esports | 73c | 52.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Misa Esports | 71c | 51.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked WBT | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Misa Esports | 64c | 43.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked WBT | 25c | 43.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked WBT | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 277 | 46.2%128 W · 149 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Misa Esports | 64c | 41.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Misa Esports | 73c | 37.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…35febacked Misa Esports | 77c | 35.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Misa Esports | 74c | 35.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 30.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Misa Esports | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Misa Esports | 72c | 29.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked WBT | 45c | 29.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Misa Esports | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Misa Esports | 58c | 19.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Misa Esports | 68c | 15.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc3…d8e9backed Misa Esports | 74c | 13.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Misa Esports | 80c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group DMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs WBT (+1.5)Misa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.