CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e82c593aa0b5135dbfcea6fc5b1be852c2dcdf805e9be1f0ec68abe0751b7e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, WBT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 6,715$5,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.25 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WBT | 18c | 2,086$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.48 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WBT | 26c | 823.11$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed WBT | 22c | 455$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed WBT | 26c | 403.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked WBT | 22c | 400$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked WBT | 21c | 400$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked WBT | 27c | 370$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed WBT | 26c | 369.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed WBT | 22c | 362$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WBT | 22c | 343$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed WBT | 31c | 246$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked WBT | 26c | 223.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed WBT | 26c | 206$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked WBT | 35c | 149.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed WBT | 27c | 106.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WBT | 23c | 98.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked WBT | 31c | 81.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed WBT | 26c | 79.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed WBT | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed WBT | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked WBT | 26c | 50.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed WBT | 36c | 50.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Misa Esports | 64c | 50.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Misa Esports | 66c | 45.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Misa Esports | 64c | 36.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Misa Esports | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Misa Esports | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 68c | 18.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group DMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs WBT (+1.5)Misa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.