CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ed556b36067c1ca829654a8823e9c7a9b705132145c8643d9d4d58b5d9339b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, WBT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed WBT | 21c | 2,291$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.74 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked WBT | 37c | 2,050$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.5 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed WBT | 38c | 1,295$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.78 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Misa Esports | 63c | 1,201$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.43 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Misa Esports | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.86 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed WBT | 20c | 962$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.32 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked WBT | 38c | 813.69$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.34 | 529 | 36.3%192 W · 337 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed WBT | 37c | 583.79$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked WBT | 10c | 458.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed WBT | 18c | 434$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 896 | 30.7%275 W · 621 L | -64.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed WBT | 30c | 417.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked WBT | 17c | 400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed WBT | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed WBT | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Misa Esports | 65c | 384.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked WBT | 37c | 369.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Misa Esports | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…6bfebacked Misa Esports | 62c | 317$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked WBT | 18c | 309.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed WBT | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 395 | 40.3%159 W · 236 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Misa Esports | 62c | 273.39$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed WBT | 34c | 273.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked WBT | 13c | 260.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…4fd0backed Misa Esports | 63c | 257$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed WBT | 34c | 249.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked WBT | 5c | 246.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed Misa Esports | 63c | 239$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Misa Esports | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed WBT | 13c | 226.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Misa Esports | 67c | 206.27$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked WBT | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Misa Esports | 67c | 196.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 486 | 54.5%265 W · 221 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed WBT | 37c | 168$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WBT | 16c | 164.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked WBT | 16c | 141.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Misa Esports | 63c | 133.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed WBT | 10c | 125.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Misa Esports | 63c | 115.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cab…db1dbacked WBT | 43c | 113.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Misa Esports | 80c | 110.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed WBT | 20c | 102.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked WBT | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…0382backed WBT | 47c | 92.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed WBT | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked WBT | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Misa Esports | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed WBT | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed WBT | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked WBT | 20c | 70.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Misa Esports | 62c | 61.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Misa Esports | 64c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked WBT | 21c | 58.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Misa Esports | 56c | 57.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Misa Esports | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Misa Esports | 63c | 50.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked WBT | 26c | 41.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Misa Esports | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…cc69backed Misa Esports | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed WBT | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed WBT | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 36.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +12.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…e933backed Misa Esports | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Misa Esports | 63c | 26.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked Misa Esports | 64c | 26.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 23.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Misa Esports | 63c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 17.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…0debbacked Misa Esports | 64c | 15.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs WBT (+1.5)Misa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.