TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Milan: Daniel Michalski vs Francesco Passaro

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Francesco Passaroof Daniel Michalski, Francesco Passaro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,012 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Francesco Passaro58c4,145$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.688,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Michalski37c2,591$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.6211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Francesco Passaro66c2,356$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.775054%27 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Daniel Michalski33c1,779$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.975,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Daniel Michalski44c1,514$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.216,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Francesco Passaro72c981.46$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.828,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Daniel Michalski44c751.51$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.191,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Francesco Passaro66c719.5$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6361152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Daniel Michalski36c624.25$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.591,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5aa4…e8e1backed Francesco Passaro66c595.32$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.387350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e1…97bcbacked Daniel Michalski19c513.93$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.79368.3%3 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-82.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Francesco Passaro72c452.29$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4296945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Daniel Michalski44c316$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1972755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Daniel Michalski44c306.84$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0140350.6%204 W · 199 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Francesco Passaro66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0343353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Daniel Michalski35c275.2$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.151,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Francesco Passaro67c270$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.161924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Michalski44c250$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.869,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Daniel Michalski31c225.53$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.323,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Francesco Passaro71c198.53$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5324450.8%124 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Daniel Michalski45c191.49$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Michalski28c190.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.088,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e1…a45dbacked Daniel Michalski46c185.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.192035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+190.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Francesco Passaro54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1916755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Daniel Michalski45c182.58$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Daniel Michalski21c174.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.562,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Daniel Michalski41c162$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6851457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Francesco Passaro66c154.21$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.943,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Francesco Passaro68c147.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.762,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc110…9a30backed Francesco Passaro63c147.09$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9812846.1%59 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Daniel Michalski34c146.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4930235.1%106 W · 196 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Daniel Michalski44c143.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0843552.9%230 W · 205 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Daniel Michalski31c141.6$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.681,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Daniel Michalski44c135.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6075350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Daniel Michalski34c114.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.861,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Daniel Michalski43c104.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Daniel Michalski37c101.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.883,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Daniel Michalski34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3423742.6%101 W · 136 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Francesco Passaro73c94$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.421,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Francesco Passaro63c92.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.161,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Francesco Passaro73c92$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.611,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Francesco Passaro70c87.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.624,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Daniel Michalski46c86.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Daniel Michalski44c76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3913354.9%73 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Daniel Michalski44c76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.441,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Daniel Michalski44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3365259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Daniel Michalski19c74.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.359520%19 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x219b…17cebacked Daniel Michalski41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Daniel Michalski44c71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3929551.5%152 W · 143 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Francesco Passaro76c67$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.231,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Daniel Michalski45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048552.4%254 W · 231 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Francesco Passaro67c66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.781,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Francesco Passaro76c62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8992352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Daniel Michalski25c57.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28be…6dbebacked Daniel Michalski35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023536.6%86 W · 149 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Francesco Passaro66c55.08$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Francesco Passaro60c54.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7333557%191 W · 144 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5b…2a5abacked Daniel Michalski31c53.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.716955.6%94 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Daniel Michalski44c49.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9855149.7%274 W · 277 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Daniel Michalski47c48.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.751,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Daniel Michalski33c43.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.152,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Daniel Michalski35c43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8544138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2abe…6e2dbacked Daniel Michalski44c42.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.648542.4%36 W · 49 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Daniel Michalski32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.817829.2%52 W · 126 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be3…35febacked Francesco Passaro79c39.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.241154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick70cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabbc…04a3backed Daniel Michalski45c33.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0918957.7%109 W · 80 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Francesco Passaro63c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.782,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Francesco Passaro63c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.881,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Francesco Passaro66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.247651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Daniel Michalski44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.214852%77 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed Francesco Passaro68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4125768.9%177 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a6…6684backed Francesco Passaro67c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.579564.2%61 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed Daniel Michalski37c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6225336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Francesco Passaro70c27.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4466834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a3…5b70backed Daniel Michalski45c26.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126432.8%21 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Francesco Passaro76c26.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3578957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Daniel Michalski44c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5634957.9%202 W · 147 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Francesco Passaro55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.991,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…71c9backed Francesco Passaro72c20.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9616258.6%95 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Francesco Passaro66c20.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0828764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Francesco Passaro80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Francesco Passaro65c19.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9146440.5%188 W · 276 L-36.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.