TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,273 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x420b…965bbacked Yes35c416.62$147 inLost-$146.7814049.3%69 W · 71 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ce…5462backed No65c360.5$234 inWon+$126.331020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-70.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes24c211.94$51 inLost-$51.0180225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked No69c177.2$123 inWon+$54.14257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes22c146$31 inLost-$31.4231520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked No73c100$73 inWon+$277445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost-$151656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+67.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes12c96.49$11 inLost-$11.1812454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59ba…f6a2backed No57c80$46 inWon+$34.21010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-82.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc217…c697backed No73c66$48 inWon+$17.821457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ba7…dec0backed No73c60$44 inWon+$16.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb1…3cd0backed Yes78c50.98$40 inLost-$401154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Yes56c40$23 inLost-$22.61241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Yes57c40$23 inLost-$22.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f79…af92backed Yes51c40$20 inLost-$20.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x211a…6ef4backed No60c40$24 inWon+$16.26036.7%22 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked No58c33.39$19 inWon+$14.028043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed Yes35c32.61$11 inLost-$11.3511133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes69c30$21 inLost-$20.716646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes69c20$14 inLost-$13.811263.4%71 W · 41 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2773…045cbacked Yes56c20$11 inLost-$11.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-71.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1da6…e563backed No57c20$11 inWon+$8.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6260…6a8ebacked No61c20$12 inWon+$7.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e8d…fd0dbacked No57c20$11 inWon+$8.61915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-69.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No73c19.4$14 inWon+$5.2416246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.