TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Augsburg: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Martin Krumich

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Martin Krumichof Dominic Stephan Stricker, Martin Krumich
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Dominic Stephan Stricker8c13,527$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.318,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Dominic Stephan Stricker6c3,836$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.629737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…caf0backed Martin Krumich71c3,500$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.5710470.2%73 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Dominic Stephan Stricker29c2,667$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.7332735.5%116 W · 211 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93cb…3485backed Martin Krumich40c2,064$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.430639.9%122 W · 184 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Dominic Stephan Stricker65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009951.5%51 W · 48 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Martin Krumich63c1,519$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.813,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martin Krumich72c1,027$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.418,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Martin Krumich35c1,015$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.561,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046551.2%238 W · 227 L-23.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Martin Krumich54c903$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.684,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Martin Krumich35c900.16$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.13,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1e…20aebacked Dominic Stephan Stricker64c800$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5146560%39 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Martin Krumich76c760.22$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.121,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Martin Krumich35c720.93$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker65c538.46$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35062457.7%360 W · 264 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Martin Krumich63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1928154.8%154 W · 127 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker64c437.5$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Dominic Stephan Stricker44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Dominic Stephan Stricker30c399.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9919041.6%79 W · 111 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb347…5166backed Dominic Stephan Stricker64c359.38$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23021955.3%121 W · 98 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Dominic Stephan Stricker64c330$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.21,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Dominic Stephan Stricker14c321.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.771,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Martin Krumich61c305.2$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.034,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Martin Krumich36c301.43$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.926450%32 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Dominic Stephan Stricker18c289$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.161,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Dominic Stephan Stricker41c258.1$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.681,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Martin Krumich69c224$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.214,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Dominic Stephan Stricker15c205$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.364837.5%243 W · 405 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker36c197.36$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7148242.5%205 W · 277 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Dominic Stephan Stricker15c190$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.578838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Martin Krumich36c186$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0414351%73 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Dominic Stephan Stricker64c170$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.847058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8102…c618backed Dominic Stephan Stricker65c135.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8412860.2%77 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Martin Krumich36c130$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.230644.1%135 W · 171 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Martin Krumich36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Dominic Stephan Stricker29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2936946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Dominic Stephan Stricker62c98.54$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.013,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.814757.8%85 W · 62 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Dominic Stephan Stricker65c70$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.536640.7%149 W · 217 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043336.7%159 W · 274 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Martin Krumich36c63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.122,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Martin Krumich70c59.39$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.724,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dominic Stephan Stricker27c57.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.342,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Martin Krumich70c54.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.041,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Martin Krumich65c46.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.172,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Martin Krumich68c44.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.272937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x115f…f51dbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512157.9%70 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa52…865bbacked Martin Krumich66c37.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.665366%35 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Martin Krumich35c35.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7955347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa678…dd59backed Dominic Stephan Stricker64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010855.6%60 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030268.9%208 W · 94 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Martin Krumich36c28.57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2827239%106 W · 166 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Martin Krumich36c28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.922,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Martin Krumich51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.831,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe201…b90bbacked Martin Krumich41c24.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Martin Krumich69c24.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5754141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Martin Krumich64c23.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3431443.6%137 W · 177 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Dominic Stephan Stricker63c21.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4269047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Martin Krumich73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.438459.9%230 W · 154 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f12…3f91backed Dominic Stephan Stricker65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136451.6%33 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e0…585bbacked Martin Krumich67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.69950.5%50 W · 49 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Dominic Stephan Stricker65c18.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1237058.4%216 W · 154 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.