Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton: Elmer Moeller vs Anton Matusevich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9c0f7e4e5984bd909f90281b2261ee2e785f7f93a0c8d831b9247781a9274a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anton Matusevichof Elmer Moeller, Anton Matusevich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Elmer Moeller | 13c | 7,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Elmer Moeller | 20c | 5,004$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Anton Matusevich | 80c | 4,713$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.81 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anton Matusevich | 78c | 2,977$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.27 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…d5c4backed Elmer Moeller | 51c | 1,932$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Anton Matusevich | 60c | 1,329$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.05 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Anton Matusevich | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.48 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Elmer Moeller | 20c | 1,097$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.12 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Anton Matusevich | 50c | 1,008$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.2 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Elmer Moeller | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…7357backed Elmer Moeller | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elmer Moeller | 21c | 819.82$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.11 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Anton Matusevich | 49c | 773.52$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.5 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Elmer Moeller | 32c | 721.46$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.44 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Elmer Moeller | 46c | 633.16$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.73 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Anton Matusevich | 71c | 534.57$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.03 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Anton Matusevich | 53c | 453.28$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.28 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Elmer Moeller | 20c | 440.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…6be0backed Elmer Moeller | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Elmer Moeller | 51c | 296.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Elmer Moeller | 41c | 287.28$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Elmer Moeller | 8c | 281.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Anton Matusevich | 47c | 249.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Anton Matusevich | 61c | 218.93$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anton Matusevich | 59c | 215.85$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Anton Matusevich | 62c | 209.82$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Elmer Moeller | 49c | 206.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Elmer Moeller | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Elmer Moeller | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Anton Matusevich | 51c | 158.61$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Elmer Moeller | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Elmer Moeller | 52c | 135$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Elmer Moeller | 37c | 131.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Elmer Moeller | 49c | 121.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Anton Matusevich | 48c | 103.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Elmer Moeller | 50c | 100.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Anton Matusevich | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Elmer Moeller | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…fbd1backed Elmer Moeller | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Anton Matusevich | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Elmer Moeller | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Elmer Moeller | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Anton Matusevich | 62c | 68.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Anton Matusevich | 54c | 61.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Elmer Moeller | 20c | 58.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Elmer Moeller | 41c | 56.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Anton Matusevich | 52c | 56.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Elmer Moeller | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Elmer Moeller | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Elmer Moeller | 46c | 49.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Elmer Moeller | 48c | 43.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…f51dbacked Elmer Moeller | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Elmer Moeller | 44c | 36.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Elmer Moeller | 49c | 33.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Elmer Moeller | 47c | 32.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Anton Matusevich | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Anton Matusevich | 69c | 18.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.