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Tennis · resolved market

Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Luca Van Assche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Luca Van Asscheof Stefanos Sakellaridis, Luca Van Assche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,429 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed Stefanos Sakellaridis17c15,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55068249.6%338 W · 344 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Stefanos Sakellaridis4c5,352$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.729897.9%78 W · 911 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Stefanos Sakellaridis8c3,931$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.4771725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Luca Van Assche68c2,951$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.5110951.4%56 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Luca Van Assche65c2,786$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.11,06650.1%534 W · 532 L+38.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis28c2,679$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75074840.9%306 W · 442 L+3.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Stefanos Sakellaridis34c1,973$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.151,73348.4%839 W · 894 L+40.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6170…f3fdbacked Luca Van Assche65c1,849$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.2629362.8%184 W · 109 L+19.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis35c1,835$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.091,79349.4%885 W · 908 L+62.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis1c1,712$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.121,10948%532 W · 577 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Stefanos Sakellaridis32c1,609$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.532,25537.1%836 W · 1,419 L+43.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Luca Van Assche72c1,269$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.2495468.2%651 W · 303 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Stefanos Sakellaridis16c1,012$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.92,92539.6%1,158 W · 1,767 L-85.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Luca Van Assche68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32052450.4%264 W · 260 L-27.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Stefanos Sakellaridis34c876.79$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.661,85646.8%868 W · 988 L-55.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Luca Van Assche66c835.8$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9227346.9%128 W · 145 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Stefanos Sakellaridis38c799.92$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9737338.6%144 W · 229 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Luca Van Assche70c714.48$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4812967.4%87 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134f…2b5dbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis30c695.83$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7518045%81 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Stefanos Sakellaridis33c613$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.067,22749.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L+118.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Luca Van Assche62c600.61$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2387650.3%441 W · 435 L+23.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Luca Van Assche65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21018156.9%103 W · 78 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Stefanos Sakellaridis33c600$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952,29642.9%984 W · 1,312 L+37.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis4c600$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.210334%35 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Stefanos Sakellaridis36c599.97$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.847,15739.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L-9.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis24c590.36$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2312326.8%33 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Stefanos Sakellaridis35c568.56$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19931257.4%179 W · 133 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Stefanos Sakellaridis15c546.73$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.939,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Stefanos Sakellaridis34c536.32$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.772,58138.7%999 W · 1,582 L+100.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Stefanos Sakellaridis32c483$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.561,37938.4%530 W · 849 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Luca Van Assche66c461.26$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8331952.7%168 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis8c450.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.784,40752.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L+66.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Stefanos Sakellaridis17c376.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,44742.8%620 W · 827 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0947…a830backed Stefanos Sakellaridis32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011024.5%27 W · 83 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis34c367.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12593853.3%500 W · 438 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Stefanos Sakellaridis31c334.48$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.691,06040.8%433 W · 627 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Luca Van Assche65c279$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6512248.4%59 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Stefanos Sakellaridis6c274.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1722020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Stefanos Sakellaridis34c241$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0836032.5%117 W · 243 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Stefanos Sakellaridis19c234$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.255,48656.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L+232.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Luca Van Assche75c233.33$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.331,03450.2%519 W · 515 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Stefanos Sakellaridis11c172.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9465939.6%261 W · 398 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb62…db9dbacked Luca Van Assche65c166$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis35c160.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.083,39748.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L-47.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cdd…db30backed Stefanos Sakellaridis15c158.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7419824.7%49 W · 149 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Stefanos Sakellaridis38c152.85$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7640635.7%145 W · 261 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Luca Van Assche67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2516557.6%95 W · 70 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Luca Van Assche65c135$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.255341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x946d…8c66backed Luca Van Assche76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Luca Van Assche65c122.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4322054.5%120 W · 100 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Stefanos Sakellaridis34c117.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405,37728.9%1,553 W · 3,824 L-20.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Stefanos Sakellaridis34c113.88$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.721,16541.5%483 W · 682 L+25.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee9…f03fbacked Luca Van Assche65c113.23$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Luca Van Assche65c111.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.227157.6%156 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Stefanos Sakellaridis21c110.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4260641.3%250 W · 356 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Stefanos Sakellaridis32c103.02$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.971,09652.4%574 W · 522 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb1e…20aebacked Luca Van Assche62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386761.2%41 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis40c99.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.992,05847.9%986 W · 1,072 L+16.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Stefanos Sakellaridis35c95.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.193,75245.3%1,700 W · 2,052 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea1…c637backed Luca Van Assche65c87$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Luca Van Assche66c84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5627045.9%124 W · 146 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Luca Van Assche67c81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.735766.7%38 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e2…52f6backed Luca Van Assche65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Luca Van Assche68c73.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532,06059.5%1,226 W · 834 L-1.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis34c69.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5327041.9%113 W · 157 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Luca Van Assche65c67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4582957.2%474 W · 355 L+20.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd233…14f3backed Luca Van Assche65c67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.452254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Luca Van Assche60c66.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1225850%129 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Luca Van Assche75c66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51,91759.3%1,136 W · 781 L+3.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Luca Van Assche65c63.27$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1439452%205 W · 189 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Stefanos Sakellaridis27c63.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.156,89848.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L+61.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8204…8fa3backed Stefanos Sakellaridis26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155228.8%15 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db2…9fecbacked Luca Van Assche65c55.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045137%167 W · 284 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Stefanos Sakellaridis33c54.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1825544.3%113 W · 142 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Stefanos Sakellaridis32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1662447.6%297 W · 327 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x940e…e290backed Luca Van Assche61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.183762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Stefanos Sakellaridis33c47.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5728248.9%138 W · 144 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd16f…9713backed Luca Van Assche73c41.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3710956.9%62 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Luca Van Assche66c36.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.493961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cee…31eabacked Luca Van Assche65c34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.94100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7d0…681ebacked Stefanos Sakellaridis37c33.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.261758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Luca Van Assche67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8533667.9%228 W · 108 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Luca Van Assche64c27.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.861,12337.2%418 W · 705 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Luca Van Assche62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.564851.9%336 W · 312 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4dd…80a1backed Luca Van Assche62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaba4…3fa6backed Luca Van Assche62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.198848.9%43 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Luca Van Assche65c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.051833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x191e…0445backed Luca Van Assche80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43053.3%16 W · 14 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick72cpaid-27.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Luca Van Assche61c18.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2374353%394 W · 349 L+37.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d98…c601backed Luca Van Assche65c18.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.412437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Luca Van Assche61c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.632,57136.4%937 W · 1,634 L-21.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.