Mls · resolved market
Will New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfee37c16d69d0e19ccc6177b3ea6d264c00e51e31d3373acd4a1a78ad4173d38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 77c | 5,456$4,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188.51 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 22c | 4,185$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.93 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 27c | 2,224$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.28 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 25c | 1,953$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.25 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 27c | 1,565$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 1,250$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 1,250$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 41c | 1,181$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.08 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 796.67$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.98 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 45c | 596.96$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.91 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 582.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 74c | 483.65$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 469.9$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 436.22$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 14c | 396.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 74c | 344.87$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.43 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 25c | 254.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 243.87$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 23c | 219.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.55 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 41c | 214.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 75c | 190.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 23c | 176.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 54c | 164.19$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 68c | 163.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…4f5abacked Yes | 34c | 163.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 58c | 157.93$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Yes | 25c | 121$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 72c | 112.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 54c | 109.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 100.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 54c | 100.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 43c | 91.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 22c | 84.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 66c | 72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 69c | 71.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 22c | 68.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 78c | 67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 29c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 65.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 62.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 77c | 62.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…a298backed No | 66c | 60.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 71c | 56.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 35c | 49.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 66c | 45.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 69c | 33.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead9…27d2backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa58…140dbacked Yes | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked Yes | 56c | 17.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.