Mls · resolved market
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x848d3903f203d1de1599fcf8bc086ed139bd274df3a885a377e977356cff2b9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Yes | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 2,183$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.05 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 1,980$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.24 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 1,685$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.33 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 64c | 1,492$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.72 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,271$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.82 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Yes | 36c | 1,203$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739f…e091backed Yes | 39c | 825$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 35c | 724$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.4 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 619.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 604.23$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.48 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 34c | 594.94$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.28 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 21c | 531.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 27c | 498.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 35c | 461.03$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.89 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 61c | 412.83$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.78 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed No | 66c | 348.48$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 60c | 337.08$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.83 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 75c | 323.5$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked No | 66c | 305.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Yes | 35c | 284.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Yes | 34c | 274$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 28c | 259.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 35c | 257$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 20c | 250$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 69c | 202.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 33c | 180.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 69c | 162.39$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 159$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Yes | 33c | 152$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 37c | 143.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 15c | 141.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 18c | 133.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 65c | 122$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 111.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 24c | 111.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 32c | 106.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 67c | 102.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked No | 66c | 101.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 64c | 99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 98.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed Yes | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 74.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 37c | 69.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 65c | 65.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 36c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 71c | 56.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607a…4aeabacked No | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 66c | 46.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 68c | 44.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 43.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…a49ebacked No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…1a6abacked No | 66c | 34.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 63c | 33.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 33c | 33.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 65c | 27.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 26.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 21.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 65c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
- Will New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.