TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x122b…ac59backed Yes27c12,401$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,005.131752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,899.992920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes14c7,845$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,747.051,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No73c5,840$4,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,262.591,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No70c5,461$3,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.338032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes40c3,769$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.4239435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes42c3,300$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.5835550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes16c3,140$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.4638246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No59c3,017$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.036349.2%31 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No59c2,468$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.7972850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No58c2,458$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.5370249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No71c2,389$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.9492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes26c2,271$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.17785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.52per pick33cpaid+231.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes58c2,175$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.9713952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No47c2,021$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.0217244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes36c1,565$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.61947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No57c1,512$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.733346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes41c1,488$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.84136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No67c1,301$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.951,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No60c1,183$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.024751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No65c1,149$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.4371443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No61c923.08$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.084245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes43c846.09$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.273751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes29c798.97$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.767564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes43c788$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.1632848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No44c778.78$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.3131446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No60c753.12$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.8235149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes9c718.72$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.391,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes37c575.06$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.07742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No60c560$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3363540%14 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No64c539.28$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.39357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.321040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No60c507.33$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.468150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No57c507.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5216437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes30c499.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+70.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes34c494$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.049726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes40c482.3$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.381154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No75c454.82$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.124845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes21c446.89$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.4853040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No60c409.98$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5980249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No60c408.69$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2123858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes31c356$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.8899340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c353.51$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes17c336.63$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.622222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes43c336.36$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8198945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No61c330$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.32147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes36c321.29$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.341060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes36c321.25$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.31742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3713…96c6backed Yes33c290$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes43c279.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.071233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes41c277.06$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0912654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No37c266.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008344.6%37 W · 46 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x96c4…f7b8backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No70c248.14$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1810840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No61c244.18$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.952441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No60c239.82$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8991553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No59c228$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.741,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes26c220.97$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.694348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c199.02$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.763,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes39c193.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.939742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes40c192.3$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed No52c192$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.847367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No22c187.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.557327.4%20 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5887…735ebacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No61c175$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.756546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed No71c173$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.382657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes48c172$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4429370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes34c170$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.610243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed No58c160$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.820133.3%67 W · 134 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca6…3b5bbacked No61c157.59$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No60c150.85$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.513844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10244447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x648f…fc85backed Yes39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No58c148.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.41450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes39c142.84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1373438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No37c142.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.46232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No57c139.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.61,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes32c131.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c120.7$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes48c120.64$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7316159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No51c119.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4810249%50 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No60c116.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8526450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No38c105.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.996636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Yes24c104.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe200…1b78backed No18c101.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes71c92.06$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.719073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd82f…aba0backed Yes40c87.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No49c83.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.425652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed No61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked No61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505068%34 W · 16 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked No61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes39c81$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.416163.9%39 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes40c80.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5117858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484139%16 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes42c76.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8445140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.