TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes33c5,602$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.692,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes22c5,383$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.8729037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c4,741$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.218,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes42c2,932$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.0966837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Yes44c2,239$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.4810128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Yes29c2,182$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.2711025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9917049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes43c1,959$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.164351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed No67c1,855$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.962536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No68c1,679$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.9513748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed No56c1,647$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.796735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No59c1,620$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.2212434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No58c1,487$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.351,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes18c1,464$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.22,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No58c1,152$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.921,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Yes49c1,139$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.694542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes35c1,031$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.8612738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No42c981.83$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.168743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes35c965.85$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.5948547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No60c904$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3712754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Yes33c815$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7512340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes61c801.48$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.085841.4%24 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No56c708$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.891,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No58c607.69$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.11,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes35c583.5$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.049920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No64c563.63$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.111143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No67c520.42$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7410933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Yes42c517.24$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2416051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No60c501.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.881,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed Yes42c481.45$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.652661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No69c427.77$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.611,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes42c425.8$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes35c410.81$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5750643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No47c402.88$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.610649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Yes43c348.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb66e…47c5backed Yes35c346.07$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.821838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes31c343.55$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.56412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes17c339.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3315625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes29c333.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5421538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes15c322.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes43c320.32$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0412646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes34c300.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.145646.4%26 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed No63c289.34$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.35757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes42c257.14$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes8c255.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0385220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes47c245.37$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.097248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No54c243$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7820036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cda…1397backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006642.4%28 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes6c233.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.341,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Yes49c231.29$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.335147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x590d…572dbacked Yes42c221.2$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.27450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed No58c220$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.45248.1%25 W · 27 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+10.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes37c217.58$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9149535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Yes25c216$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411220.5%23 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed Yes42c205.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.512755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No57c199.98$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9928851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No73c187.08$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5119040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No71c183.58$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.445446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes24c179.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2867548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed No62c178.14$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.153650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No58c172.89$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8889846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes40c171$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.431039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No43c165$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9530847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Yes11c162.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.423145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e60…cb75backed Yes35c157.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes42c157.14$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667843.6%34 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ce…7d54backed Yes42c152.38$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb886…893abacked No58c139.98$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.79988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+60.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ba1…6aefbacked No63c135.14$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed Yes46c130$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.83542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No58c129$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.181,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No66c120.73$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5760156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8969…2a77backed Yes32c110.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No66c104.78$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9895155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes41c103.03$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.245648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade5…56b1backed Yes42c102.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9124535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No66c99.73$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7763061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes21c99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.379632.3%31 W · 65 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd682…2c16backed Yes56c89.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No41c89.12$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5829047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No59c86.78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5811640.5%47 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No46c83.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.968139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4635046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Yes33c75.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9198…e5eebacked Yes42c67.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed No56c61.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.847454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28b…60c6backed Yes36c56.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.441145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes41c56.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.332,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed No68c56.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.312479.2%19 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No59c56.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0923253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No65c54.72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0126465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c50.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.111,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed No59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.52657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9551945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8115…103bbacked Yes43c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc80…3b15backed No63c47.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.68944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes61c46.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.661,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.