South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6487a77c9a478382c1ea05c6ef0e32c0b291bf03d7f52375d339a91b8d6b020
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 54c | 16,000$8,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,370.13 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 55c | 4,515$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.82 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 54c | 3,733$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.18 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 46c | 3,074$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.85 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 46c | 2,962$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.6 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 46c | 2,391$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.91 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 21c | 1,549$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.71 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,331$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.76 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 1,218$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,195$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.71 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 41c | 1,058$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.51 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 987.29$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.23 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 47c | 955.62$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.26 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 46c | 951.99$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.92 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 52c | 930.23$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.51 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Yes | 23c | 699.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes | 43c | 681.82$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 6c | 625.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 80c | 611.17$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 45c | 590.52$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.73 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 21c | 486.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 13c | 376.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 55c | 370.18$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 63c | 338.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 11c | 337$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 57c | 332$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.76 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Yes | 46c | 249.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 45c | 243.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Yes | 17c | 236.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 31c | 225.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b4…17eebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 57c | 199.69$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 192.19$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 9c | 169.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 46c | 168$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 23c | 159.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 43c | 158.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 46c | 138.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 44c | 136$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…9cc5backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 47c | 94.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked No | 49c | 93.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 45c | 83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 55c | 81.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 47c | 81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 50c | 79.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed No | 50c | 74.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 24c | 68.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 66.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 47c | 61.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 55c | 59.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…a298backed No | 54c | 57.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 51.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 77c | 51.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 53c | 43.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 46c | 42.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…5e22backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 64c | 38.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 38c | 34.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 46c | 32.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…f0cfbacked Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked Yes | 47c | 25.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 48c | 25.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 47c | 23.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 54c | 23.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 55c | 18.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 63c | 15.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 13.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-17?this page
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-08-17?Yes won
- Will CA Lanús vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.