Champions League · resolved market
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95b263bb0a77954dcbfff5d3dda743ba36608b17723b2acfda8b899f0c7b5d26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 26c | 7,500$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.99 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 57c | 3,742$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.87 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 50c | 2,406$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.57 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 16c | 2,403$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.95 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 2,259$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.9 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 27c | 2,092$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.99 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 2,014$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.93 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 1,942$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.31 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 1,700$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.8 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 1,447$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.04 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 91 | 19.8%18 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…0595backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 74c | 806.39$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.49 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 734.31$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.23 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 31c | 521$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 63c | 512.82$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 60c | 480.56$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.22 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 19c | 447$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 77c | 422.55$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 72c | 366.17$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 72c | 365.02$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 252$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 252$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 59c | 230.63$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 51c | 227.72$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked No | 9c | 222.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 30c | 222.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed No | 22c | 202.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 193.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes | 63c | 164.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e8…227ebacked Yes | 77c | 149.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes | 27c | 144.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 18c | 140.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 16c | 140$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 80c | 116$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 67c | 103.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 27c | 103$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 78c | 99.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 52c | 92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 27c | 85.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed No | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed No | 16c | 83.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 75.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 58.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 51c | 55.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 51c | 55.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 51c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 54 | 75.9%41 W · 13 L | +10.4wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked No | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 40.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 38c | 39.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…3a2abacked Yes | 78c | 32.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 51c | 31.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 71c | 30.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…de4fbacked No | 75c | 30.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 76cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…a298backed No | 57c | 26.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 57c | 21.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 68c | 20.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje end in a draw?this page
- Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-19?No won
- Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.