TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes41c8,957$3,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,262.5597346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No58c7,110$4,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,127.955639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes37c3,659$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.73771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes78c2,841$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.053,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c2,594$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.561,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No61c2,525$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.2269448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed No62c1,700$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0541080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+60.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No61c1,551$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.7666150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes56c1,309$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.82,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes38c1,300$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8069538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes42c1,071$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.431442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No59c1,033$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6102128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c978.51$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.196947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes39c970$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.838347%39 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No27c790.45$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.021,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes80c764.19$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.243844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes70c683.84$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.212,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed Yes41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No16c486.44$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.29257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cde…610cbacked Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes34c457$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.2727039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes79c440$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes74c418.66$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.085066%33 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Yes43c418.6$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No38c340.72$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0438952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No60c338.88$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.211,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes63c330.71$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.292,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaae5…7974backed No27c325.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.951729.4%5 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes62c319.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No18c289.19$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4937446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4498…e0f7backed Yes34c289.18$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+196.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No25c287.31$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0963857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No59c286.46$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4774155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No26c269.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0918145.9%83 W · 98 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes75c266.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.666855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes38c263$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0688048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No58c248.63$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0938144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes38c245$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.98840.9%36 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes36c227.78$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.784035%14 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No63c207.78$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.691,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014630.1%44 W · 102 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No11c182.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.756630.3%20 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes43c174.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No62c165.09$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.336358.7%37 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes33c164.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5431842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes42c161.67$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.775850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No62c161.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0818056.7%102 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No16c160$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2617059.4%101 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed No67c150.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.841127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No20c145.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1945348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Yes39c119.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.657146.5%33 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x267e…584bbacked Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes42c112.4$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1917153.8%92 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes43c108.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8565535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3215828.5%45 W · 113 L-18.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No16c91.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8232436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes75c85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2527644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked No62c79.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910948.6%53 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes42c71.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.245056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd069…d078backed Yes38c67.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+166.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes41c67.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.865549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x667a…01cfbacked No30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed No30c66.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20454.4%2 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-60.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed No58c64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.124060%24 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No32c63.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.428446.4%39 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f15…50cbbacked Yes34c61.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Yes78c59.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.182744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No41c52.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5735944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Yes40c50.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.312128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes69c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.527855.1%43 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed No60c43.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc151…99e5backed No32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes73c39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5353564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes41c37.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0623951.5%123 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed No61c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.352744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.37157.7%41 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No59c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0617443.1%75 W · 99 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b05…b636backed Yes36c33.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Yes79c31.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.495971.2%42 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.856958%40 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked No67c29.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.719958.6%58 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes40c29.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.656849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed No62c27.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.028755.2%48 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x453d…2dbabacked No56c25.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.444542.2%19 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6522…3a5abacked Yes44c24.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.893450%17 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb556…b5e5backed Yes73c24.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes77c23.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5729470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3600…d8a6backed Yes42c23.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.812142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes72c20.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.858061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes72c20.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6885260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6dd…5e33backed Yes76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed No66c16.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0125440.6%103 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Yes79c15.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.387580%60 W · 15 L+12.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.